Hapoel Tel Aviv

Thu 27 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta finished 0-1. Atalanta won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Hapoel Tel Aviv face Atalanta in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Atalanta won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Hapoel Tel Aviv winDrawAtalanta win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Hapoel Tel Aviv 19%Draw 62%Atalanta 19%

19%62%19%

62%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta. Wins shown from Hapoel Tel Aviv’s perspective: 1 drawn · Atalanta 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Hapoel Tel Aviv	0 – 1	Atalanta	L
2026-08-20	Atalanta	0 – 0	Hapoel Tel Aviv	D

📈 Recent form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Hapoel Ramat Gan. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Maccabi Tel Aviv.

LMaccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
WHapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Ramat GanLigat Ha'al
WHapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
DHapoel Haifa 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
LHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Bologna. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Juventus.

LJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
LAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A
LAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
WHapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hapoel Tel Aviv at 19% to win and Atalanta at 19%, with the draw at 62%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	62%	22%	@ 4.25
Atalanta Win	19%	63%	@ 1.49
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win	19%	15%	@ 6.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.09 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atalanta or Draw	64%	85%	@ 1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw	63%	37%	@ 2.43

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	77%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	68%	64%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	54%	57%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	46%	43%	@ 2.12
Over 3.5	32%	36%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	23%	21%	@ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	53%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	44%	47%	@ 1.96

📈 How the market moved

Hapoel Tel Aviv 16%Draw 22%Atalanta 62%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.17 for Atalanta. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.