Sat 22 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Heerenveen 0-2 PEC Zwolle

Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle finished 0-2. PEC Zwolle won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Heerenveen face PEC Zwolle in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, PEC Zwolle won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 2.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PEC Zwolle +2 @ 1.27

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.26 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
1	6.2%	8.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
2	7.0%	9.4%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
3	5.3%	7.1%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
4	3.0%	4.0%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Heerenveen winDrawPEC Zwolle win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PEC Zwolle with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Heerenveen 63%Draw 21%PEC Zwolle 17%

63%21%17%

63%

Heerenveen Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 1 · 2 drawn · PEC Zwolle 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-22	Heerenveen	0 – 2	PEC Zwolle	L
2026-02-15	Heerenveen	4 – 2	PEC Zwolle	W
2025-11-28	PEC Zwolle	2 – 1	Heerenveen	L
2025-02-16	PEC Zwolle	1 – 1	Heerenveen	D
2024-10-06	Heerenveen	1 – 1	PEC Zwolle	D

📈 Recent form

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.

LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Heerenveen

M. EgbringInjury

PEC Zwolle

J. BurgerKnock
S. FloranusSuspended (red card)
Y. NamliKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heerenveen at 63% to win and PEC Zwolle at 17%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen Win	63%	60%	@ 1.56
Draw	21%	22%	@ 4.30
PEC Zwolle Win	17%	18%	@ 5.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.16 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen or Draw	84%	82%	@ 1.16
PEC Zwolle or Draw	38%	40%	@ 2.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	70%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	52%	56%	@ 1.68
Over 3.5	48%	44%	@ 2.15
Under 2.5	30%	35%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	13%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	34%	38%	@ 2.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Heerenveen or PEC Zwolle is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen +0.75	86%	86%	1.11
Heerenveen +0.5	84%	82%	1.16
Heerenveen +0.25	78%	79%	1.19
Heerenveen 0	73%	76%	1.25
PEC Zwolle +2	72%	74%	1.27
Heerenveen -0.25	68%	67%	1.41
PEC Zwolle +1.75	67%	67%	1.41
PEC Zwolle +1.5	62%	61%	1.54
Heerenveen -0.5	62%	60%	1.57
PEC Zwolle +1.25	56%	56%	1.69
Heerenveen -0.75	56%	55%	1.72
PEC Zwolle +1	50%	51%	1.87
Heerenveen -1	50%	49%	1.94
PEC Zwolle +0.75	44%	45%	2.15
Heerenveen -1.25	44%	44%	2.19
PEC Zwolle +0.5	38%	40%	2.34
Heerenveen -1.5	38%	39%	2.41
Heerenveen -1.75	33%	33%	2.91
PEC Zwolle +0.25	32%	33%	2.90
Heerenveen -2	28%	26%	@ 3.70
PEC Zwolle 0	27%	24%	@ 4.01
PEC Zwolle -0.25	22%	21%	4.50
PEC Zwolle -0.5	16%	18%	5.25
PEC Zwolle -0.75	14%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

Heerenveen 60%Draw 21%PEC Zwolle 19%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model's main pick is PEC Zwolle with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.3 scoreline for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.26 for Heerenveen and 1.33 for PEC Zwolle. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.