⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Hibernian vs Gent Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Hibernian face Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Gent win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Gent with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.40

72%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.29 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	9.8%	6.2%	2.6%	0.8%
1	10.0%	12.7%	8.0%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.4%	8.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.8%	3.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Hibernian winDrawGent win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Gent is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a Gent win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (53%).

Best value

Over 1.5 at odds 1.40, 72% model probability, +1.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Hibernian 29%Draw 31%Gent 40%

29%31%40%

40%

Gent Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+1.5%

Best value: Over 1.5

📈 Recent form

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Partick.

DGent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference
WHibernian 1-0 PartickLeague Cup
DShkendija 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference
WRangers 1-2 HibernianPremiership
WHibernian 2-1 ShkendijaUEFA Europa Conference

Gent

Gent come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to KV Mechelen.

DGent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference
WRAAL La Louvière 1-2 GentJupiler Pro League
DGent 1-1 IFK GoteborgUEFA Europa Conference
WGent 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
WIFK Goteborg 0-1 GentUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hibernian at 29% to win and Gent at 40%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Gent win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gent Win	40%	@ 2.58	+2.3%
Draw	31%	@ 3.15	-2.4%
Hibernian Win	29%	@ 2.74	-19.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gent or Draw at 1.44 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gent or Draw	68%	@ 1.44	-1.7%
Hibernian or Draw	58%	@ 1.48	-14.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	26%	@ 4.20	+7.2%
Over 2.5	47%	@ 2.20	+3.7%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.40	+1.5%
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.22	-9.1%
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.65	-12.8%
Under 1.5	28%	@ 2.90	-20.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.83	-2.4%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.83	-14.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	43%
Dixon-Coles	Draw	43%
GradientBoosting	Away	43%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.19 for the home side, 1.41 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-0 (32%), 0-1 (20%), 1-0 (16%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Gent?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 72% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Gent?

Our model makes a Gent win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Hibernian vs Gent.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Gent?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.29 for Hibernian and 1.27 for Gent. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hibernian and Gent play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.