HNK Hajduk Split

Thu 15 Oct16:45Upcoming

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

HNK Hajduk Split face Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split have 2 wins from their last 3, while Ajax have 3 wins from their last 4. The bookmaker market makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 62%, implying a 1.1-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
HNK Hajduk Split win	18%
Draw	20%
Ajax win	62%
Over 2.5 goals	60%
Both teams to score	56%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.05 – 2.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	9.0%	9.4%	6.6%	3.5%
1	4.5%	9.4%	9.9%	6.9%	3.6%
2	2.4%	5.0%	5.2%	3.6%	1.9%
3	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	1.3%	0.7%
4	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-2

HNK Hajduk Split winDrawAjax win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ajax win is the most likely result at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 60%. Both teams to score: yes at 56%.

📊 Key numbers

HNK Hajduk Split 18%Draw 20%Ajax 62%

18%20%62%

62%

Ajax Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rudes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WHNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
WVardarac 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
WRudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
DRaków Częstochowa 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK OsijekHNL

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 1-1 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices HNK Hajduk Split at 18% to win and Ajax at 62%, with the draw at 20%. The bookmaker market makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ajax Win	62%	@ 1.48
Draw	20%	@ 4.50
HNK Hajduk Split Win	18%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ajax or Draw at 1.14 (82% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Ajax or Draw	82%	@ 1.14
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	38%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	61%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.35
Over 3.5	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.67
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.10

📈 How the market moved

HNK Hajduk Split 17%Draw 20%Ajax 62%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Ajax win is the most likely result at 62%.

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.1 scoreline for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.05 for HNK Hajduk Split and 2.10 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.