⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

HNK Hajduk Split face FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 3.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.42

84%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.55 – 1.10 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
1	3.4%	3.7%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
2	6.0%	6.6%	3.6%	1.3%	0.4%
3	7.1%	7.8%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
4	6.3%	7.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 3-1

HNK Hajduk Split winDrawFK Zalgiris Vilnius win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+42.5% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.10, 68% model probability, +42.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

HNK Hajduk Split 57%Draw 23%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%

57%23%20%

57%

HNK Hajduk Split Win

84%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+42.5%

Best value: Over 3.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices HNK Hajduk Split at 57% to win and FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 20%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win	20%	7.50	+53.2%
Draw	23%	5.40	+22.2%
HNK Hajduk Split Win	57%	1.29	-26.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw at 3.30 (44% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw	44%	3.30	+43.5%
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	80%	1.03	-17.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 84% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	68%	2.10	+42.5%
Over 2.5	84%	1.42	+19.1%
Over 1.5	94%	1.11	+4.6%
Under 3.5	32%	1.70	-45.4%
Under 2.5	16%	2.75	-55.7%
Under 1.5	6%	5.75	-66.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67	-4.5%
BTTS No	43%	2.00	-14.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.10 (+42.5% value).

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

Our model makes a HNK Hajduk Split win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 3.5-1.1 scoreline for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.55 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.10 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.