HNK Hajduk Split

Thu 20 Aug2-2Finished

Raków Częstochowa

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków Częstochowa

HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

HNK Hajduk Split face Raków Częstochowa in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 0.8-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.29

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.81 – 1.49 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	14.9%	11.1%	5.5%	2.1%
1	8.1%	12.1%	9.0%	4.5%	1.7%
2	3.3%	4.9%	3.7%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

HNK Hajduk Split winDrawRaków Częstochowa win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (60%).

📊 Key numbers

HNK Hajduk Split 31%Draw 27%Raków Częstochowa 42%

31%27%42%

42%

Raków Częstochowa Win

60%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between HNK Hajduk Split and Raków Częstochowa. Wins shown from HNK Hajduk Split’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Raków Częstochowa	2 – 2	HNK Hajduk Split	D
2026-08-20	HNK Hajduk Split	2 – 2	Raków Częstochowa	D

📈 Recent form

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Rudes. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WVardarac 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
WRudes 0-4 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
DRaków Częstochowa 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK OsijekHNL
DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Motor Lublin. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Korona Kielce.

LKorona Kielce 3-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
LRaków Częstochowa 2-3 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
WRaków Częstochowa 2-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
LLech Poznan 1-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
LRaków Częstochowa 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices HNK Hajduk Split at 31% to win and Raków Częstochowa at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Raków Częstochowa Win	42%	25%	@ 3.70
HNK Hajduk Split Win	31%	47%	@ 1.96
Draw	27%	28%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at 1.72 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Raków Częstochowa or Draw	69%	53%	@ 1.72
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	57%	75%	@ 1.22

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	80%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 1.5	67%	72%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	60%	52%	@ 1.77
Over 2.5	40%	48%	@ 1.90
Under 1.5	33%	28%	@ 3.30
Over 3.5	20%	29%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	60%	47%	@ 1.96
BTTS Yes	40%	53%	@ 1.73

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.5 scoreline for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.81 for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.49 for Raków Częstochowa. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do HNK Hajduk Split and Raków Częstochowa play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.