HNK Rijeka

Thu 27 Aug1-4Finished

FC Midtjylland

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: HNK Rijeka 1-4 FC Midtjylland

HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland finished 1-4. FC Midtjylland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

HNK Rijeka face FC Midtjylland in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a HNK Rijeka win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.9-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.27

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 0.70 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.4%	10.1%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.4%	9.4%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	8.2%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	3.8%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

HNK Rijeka winDrawFC Midtjylland win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a HNK Rijeka win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (58%).

📊 Key numbers

HNK Rijeka 49%Draw 25%FC Midtjylland 26%

49%25%26%

49%

HNK Rijeka Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland. Wins shown from HNK Rijeka’s perspective: FC Midtjylland 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	HNK Rijeka	1 – 4	FC Midtjylland	L
2026-08-20	FC Midtjylland	2 – 0	HNK Rijeka	L

📈 Recent form

HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to NK Osijek. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to FC Midtjylland.

DNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HNK RijekaHNL
WHNK Rijeka 4-1 NK OsijekHNL
LHNK Rijeka 1-4 FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Rijeka 3-2 Istra 1961HNL
LFC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at Sundby. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DOdense 1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
WFC Midtjylland 4-1 BrondbySuperliga
WSundby 0-7 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
DFC Midtjylland 2-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
WAarhus 0-2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices HNK Rijeka at 49% to win and FC Midtjylland at 26%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a HNK Rijeka win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
HNK Rijeka Win	49%	33%	@ 2.88
FC Midtjylland Win	26%	39%	@ 2.43
Draw	25%	29%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is HNK Rijeka or Draw at 1.49 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
HNK Rijeka or Draw	74%	61%	@ 1.49
FC Midtjylland or Draw	51%	67%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	73%	@ 1.27
Over 1.5	72%	72%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	53%	52%	@ 1.75
Over 2.5	47%	48%	@ 1.93
Under 1.5	28%	28%	@ 3.30
Over 3.5	25%	27%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	58%	46%	@ 1.98
BTTS Yes	42%	54%	@ 1.70

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?

Our model makes a HNK Rijeka win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.7 scoreline for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland.

What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.85 for HNK Rijeka and 0.70 for FC Midtjylland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.