⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy finished 1-0. Houston Dynamo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Houston Dynamo face Los Angeles Galaxy in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 2 · 2 drawn · Los Angeles Galaxy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 0 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | D |
| 2024-10-20 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2024-05-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2023-09-03 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | D |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. MaurerConcussion
- R. DalgadoInjury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- E. ThommyInjury
- M. YamaneHip Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 41% to win and Los Angeles Galaxy at 35%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 41% | 57% | @ 1.64 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 35% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.18 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 66% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 60% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% | @ 1.16 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 19% | @ 4.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 45% | 41% | @ 2.23 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or Los Angeles Galaxy is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy +2 | 88% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.75 | 84% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 | 82% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 | 76% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 71% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1 | 71% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 66% | – | 1.18 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 66% | 47% | @ 2.03 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 60% | 42% | @ 2.22 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 60% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 54% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 53% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 47% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 46% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 40% | 22% | @ 4.34 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 40% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 34% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 29% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 29% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 24% | 40% | 2.42 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 18% | 35% | 2.65 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.75 | 16% | 29% | 3.27 |
| Houston Dynamo -2 | 13% | 23% | 4.15 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model's main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for Houston Dynamo and 1.27 for Los Angeles Galaxy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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