⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City finished 0-2. Sporting Kansas City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.57, landed.
Houston Dynamo face Sporting Kansas City in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 1 win from their last 5, while Sporting Kansas City have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, Sporting Kansas City won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 2 · 1 drawn · Sporting Kansas City 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Dynamo | 0 – 2 | Sporting Kansas City | L |
| 2024-05-12 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 – 2 | Houston Dynamo | W |
| 2024-02-25 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 1 | Sporting Kansas City | D |
| 2023-11-27 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 0 | Sporting Kansas City | W |
| 2023-09-24 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | L |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Sporting Kansas City.
- LHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Houston Dynamo. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- WHouston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. MaurerConcussion
- A. ReschLower-Body Injury
- O. BlorianChest Injury
- CapitaHamstring Injury
- J. DavisInjury
- Diego BorgesGroin Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 56% to win and Sporting Kansas City at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 56% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Sporting Kansas City Win | 17% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.18 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 81% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Sporting Kansas City or Draw | 42% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or Sporting Kansas City is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 84% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 81% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City +2 | 76% | – | 1.24 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 75% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.75 | 71% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 70% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.5 | 67% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 64% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1.25 | 60% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 58% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Sporting Kansas City +1 | 54% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 52% | 54% | 1.78 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.75 | 48% | 46% | 2.08 |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 46% | 47% | 2.06 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.5 | 42% | 41% | 2.34 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 40% | 41% | 2.35 |
| Sporting Kansas City +0.25 | 36% | 34% | @ 2.81 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 33% | 36% | 2.67 |
| Sporting Kansas City 0 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.84 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.75 | 29% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.25 | 25% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | 19% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City -0.75 | 16% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model's main pick is Sporting Kansas City with a +1.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Houston Dynamo and 0.93 for Sporting Kansas City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City play?
Kick-off is Sunday 27 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Cruzeirovs
Sao PauloBrazilian Série AThu 8 Oct00:30
Santosvs
FlamengoBrazilian Série AFlamengo Asian Handicap -0.0@ 1.35Thu 8 Oct22:30
Atletico Paranaensevs
Atletico-MGBrazilian Série AOver 1.5@ 1.33Thu 8 Oct23:00
Palmeirasvs
BahiaBrazilian Série AFri 9 Oct00:30
Fluminensevs
CoritibaBrazilian Série AFri 9 Oct00:30
FC Rostovvs
AkronPremier LeagueFri 9 Oct16:30Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.