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⚽ Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs DC United Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Inter Miami vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Inter Miami face DC United in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Inter Miami have no wins from their last 5, while DC United have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Inter Miami won 2, DC United won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 2.5-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Inter Miami vs DC United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 2.5 @ 1.28
79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.45 – 1.72 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
1 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4%
2 4.6% 8.0% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7%
3 3.8% 6.5% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4%
4 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Projected score: 2-1
Inter Miami winDrawDC United win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Inter Miami vs DC United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (79%), both teams to score points yes (74%).

📊 Key numbers

Inter Miami 60%Draw 21%DC United 20%
60%21%20%
60%
Inter Miami Win
79%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Inter Miami and DC United. Wins shown from Inter Miami’s perspective: Inter Miami 2 · 1 drawn · DC United 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2024-05-18 Inter Miami 1 – 0 DC United W
2024-03-16 DC United 1 – 3 Inter Miami W
2023-07-08 DC United 2 – 2 Inter Miami D
2023-06-03 Inter Miami 1 – 2 DC United L

📈 Recent form

Inter Miami

Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Columbus Crew.

  • LColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
  • DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
DC United

DC United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Columbus Crew. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to SC Paderborn 07.

  • LDC United 0-1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
  • DVancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • LDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
  • WDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Inter Miami at 60% to win and DC United at 20%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Inter Miami Win 60% 68% @ 1.36
Draw 21% 19% @ 5.00
DC United Win 20% 13% @ 7.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.10 (81% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Inter Miami or Draw 81% 87% @ 1.10
DC United or Draw 41% 32% @ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 79% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 92% 89% @ 1.07
Over 2.5 79% 74% @ 1.28
Over 3.5 60% 54% @ 1.73
Under 3.5 40% 46% @ 2.00
Under 2.5 21% 26% @ 3.60
Under 1.5 8% 11% @ 9.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 74% 65% @ 1.44
BTTS No 26% 35% @ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

9%42%74%10/0510/0610/0710/08

Inter Miami 68%Draw 18%DC United 14%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs DC United?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs DC United?

Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.7 scoreline for Inter Miami vs DC United.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs DC United?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.45 for Inter Miami and 1.72 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Inter Miami and DC United play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.