Sat 29 Aug2-0Finished

⚽ Serie A

Juventus vs Parma Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs Parma in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Result: Juventus 2-0 Parma

Juventus vs Parma finished 2-0. Juventus won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Juventus face Parma in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 1 win from their last 5, while Parma have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 3, Parma won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.6-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs Parma with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.50
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.58 – 0.68 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.4% 7.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 16.5% 11.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
2 13.0% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
3 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Juventus winDrawParma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs Parma comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 56%Draw 27%Parma 17%
56%27%17%
56%
Juventus Win
61%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Juventus and Parma. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 3 · 1 drawn · Parma 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-29 Juventus 2 – 0 Parma W
2026-02-01 Parma 1 – 4 Juventus W
2025-08-24 Juventus 2 – 0 Parma W
2025-04-23 Parma 1 – 0 Juventus L
2024-10-30 Juventus 2 – 2 Parma D

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.

  • WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
  • WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
  • LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
  • DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
  • WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A
Parma

Parma come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Genoa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Como.

  • WParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
  • LComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
  • DParma 1-1 MonzaSerie A
  • LParma 0-2 CremoneseCoppa Italia
  • LJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Juventus
  • K. YildizFoot Injury
  • J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
  • F. GattiInjury
Parma
  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaGroin Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 56% to win and Parma at 17%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Juventus Win 56% 78% @ 1.20
Draw 27% 15% @ 6.10
Parma Win 17% 7% @ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.02 (81% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Juventus or Draw 81% 93% @ 1.02
Parma or Draw 42% 22% @ 4.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 81% 63% @ 1.50
Over 1.5 66% 80% @ 1.17
Under 2.5 61% 41% @ 2.28
Over 2.5 39% 59% @ 1.60
Under 1.5 34% 20% @ 4.75
Over 3.5 19% 37% @ 2.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 61% 59% @ 1.58
BTTS Yes 39% 41% @ 2.30

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Juventus or Parma is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Parma +2 76% 58% @ 1.63
Parma +1.75 71% 52% @ 1.87
Parma +1.5 67% 45% @ 2.11
Juventus -0.25 64% 82% 1.16
Parma +1.25 61% 39% @ 2.46
Juventus -0.5 58% 77% 1.22
Parma +1 55% 30% @ 3.22
Juventus -0.75 52% 74% 1.27
Parma +0.75 48% 26% @ 3.69
Juventus -1 45% 70% 1.35
Parma +0.5 42% 23% @ 4.05
Juventus -1.25 39% 61% 1.55
Parma +0.25 36% 18% @ 5.25
Juventus -1.5 33% 55% 1.72
Juventus -1.75 29% 48% 2.00
Juventus -2 24% 42% 2.27

📈 How the market moved

3%42%82%08/2408/2508/2608/2708/2808/29

Juventus 77%Draw 15%Parma 8%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Parma?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Parma?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.7 scoreline for Juventus vs Parma.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Parma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.58 for Juventus and 0.68 for Parma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and Parma play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.