Kairat Almaty

Thu 20 Aug0-3Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht finished 0-3. Anderlecht won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kairat Almaty face Anderlecht in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Anderlecht won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.3-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.28 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	10.2%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
1	12.5%	13.1%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.0%	8.4%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.4%	3.6%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Kairat Almaty winDrawAnderlecht win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Kairat Almaty 18%Draw 45%Anderlecht 36%

18%45%36%

45%

Draw

59%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht. Wins shown from Kairat Almaty’s perspective: Anderlecht 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Anderlecht	3 – 0	Kairat Almaty	L
2026-08-20	Kairat Almaty	0 – 3	Anderlecht	L

📈 Recent form

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zhenys. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at FC Astana.

LFC Astana 1-0 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
LKairat Almaty 1-4 FK Tobol KostanayPremier League
WKairat Almaty 3-0 ZhenysPremier League
WKaspiy 0-3 Kairat AlmatyPremier League
WYelimay Semey 0-2 Kairat AlmatyPremier League

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zulte Waregem. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Lyon.

WAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
WKV Mechelen 0-1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kairat Almaty at 18% to win and Anderlecht at 36%, with the draw at 45%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	45%	27%	@ 3.45
Anderlecht Win	36%	46%	@ 2.06
Kairat Almaty Win	18%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.26 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Anderlecht or Draw	72%	73%	@ 1.26
Kairat Almaty or Draw	54%	54%	@ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	69%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	68%	74%	@ 1.24
Under 2.5	59%	49%	@ 1.88
Over 2.5	41%	51%	@ 1.79
Under 1.5	32%	26%	@ 3.55
Over 3.5	21%	31%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	44%	@ 2.06
BTTS Yes	47%	56%	@ 1.65

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kairat Almaty or Anderlecht is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Anderlecht +1.5	89%	–	1.09
Anderlecht +1.25	85%	86%	1.11
Anderlecht +1	80%	84%	1.12
Kairat Almaty +1.75	80%	81%	1.17
Kairat Almaty +1.5	77%	75%	1.24
Anderlecht +0.75	76%	78%	1.22
Anderlecht +0.5	72%	72%	1.31
Kairat Almaty +1.25	71%	73%	1.29
Anderlecht +0.25	66%	68%	1.40
Kairat Almaty +1	65%	70%	1.36
Kairat Almaty +0.75	60%	61%	1.54
Anderlecht 0	59%	61%	1.53
Kairat Almaty +0.5	54%	54%	1.74
Anderlecht -0.25	53%	52%	1.82
Kairat Almaty +0.25	47%	48%	2.00
Anderlecht -0.5	46%	46%	2.04
Kairat Almaty 0	41%	39%	2.44
Anderlecht -0.75	40%	39%	2.44
Anderlecht -1	35%	30%	@ 3.12
Kairat Almaty -0.25	34%	32%	@ 2.92
Anderlecht -1.25	29%	27%	@ 3.56
Kairat Almaty -0.5	28%	28%	3.29
Kairat Almaty -0.75	24%	22%	@ 4.29
Anderlecht -1.5	23%	25%	3.77
Anderlecht -1.75	20%	19%	5.00
Kairat Almaty -1	20%	16%	@ 6.00
Kairat Almaty -1.25	15%	14%	@ 6.60

📈 How the market moved

Kairat Almaty 28%Draw 28%Anderlecht 45%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.1 scoreline for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Kairat Almaty and 1.05 for Anderlecht. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.