Kauno Žalgiris

Thu 27 Aug1-0Finished

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş finished 1-0. Kauno Žalgiris won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kauno Žalgiris face Beşiktaş in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Kauno Žalgiris won 1, Beşiktaş won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kauno Žalgiris win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kauno Žalgiris +2 @ 1.38

95%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.52 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	8.0%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.6%	12.2%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.3%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.5%	4.7%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Kauno Žalgiris winDrawBeşiktaş win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 95% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Kauno Žalgiris win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Kauno Žalgiris 48%Draw 32%Beşiktaş 20%

48%32%20%

48%

Kauno Žalgiris Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş. Wins shown from Kauno Žalgiris’s perspective: Kauno Žalgiris 1 · Beşiktaş 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Kauno Žalgiris	1 – 0	Beşiktaş	W
2026-08-20	Beşiktaş	3 – 0	Kauno Žalgiris	L

📈 Recent form

Kauno Žalgiris

Kauno Žalgiris come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Džiugas Telšiai. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

WŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
LFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WPanevėžys 0-1 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-1 Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
WKauno Žalgiris 5-0 Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Çorum FK. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Amed.

LAmed 3-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleUEFA Europa League
WBeşiktaş 3-0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
WFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kauno Žalgiris at 48% to win and Beşiktaş at 20%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Kauno Žalgiris win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris Win	48%	12%	@ 8.00
Draw	32%	21%	@ 4.50
Beşiktaş Win	20%	67%	@ 1.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kauno Žalgiris or Draw at 2.70 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris or Draw	77%	33%	@ 2.70
Beşiktaş or Draw	48%	88%	@ 1.06

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	68%	@ 1.35
Over 1.5	73%	76%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	53%	47%	@ 1.97
Over 2.5	47%	53%	@ 1.73
Under 1.5	27%	24%	@ 3.80
Over 3.5	26%	32%	@ 2.88

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	46%	@ 1.98
BTTS No	49%	54%	@ 1.71

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kauno Žalgiris or Beşiktaş is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kauno Žalgiris +2	95%	68%	@ 1.38
Kauno Žalgiris +1.75	93%	60%	@ 1.57
Kauno Žalgiris +1.5	92%	54%	@ 1.74
Kauno Žalgiris +1.25	88%	48%	@ 2.00
Kauno Žalgiris +1	84%	41%	@ 2.32
Kauno Žalgiris +0.75	80%	34%	@ 2.75
Kauno Žalgiris +0.25	70%	23%	@ 4.05
Kauno Žalgiris 0	64%	16%	@ 6.00
Kauno Žalgiris -0.25	58%	14%	@ 6.80
Kauno Žalgiris -0.5	52%	14%	@ 7.00
Beşiktaş +0.5	48%	86%	1.10
Beşiktaş +0.25	42%	86%	1.10
Beşiktaş 0	36%	84%	1.12
Beşiktaş -0.25	30%	77%	1.23
Beşiktaş -0.5	23%	–	1.35
Beşiktaş -0.75	20%	66%	1.44
Beşiktaş -1	16%	59%	1.59
Beşiktaş -1.25	12%	52%	1.81
Beşiktaş -1.5	8%	46%	2.03
Beşiktaş -1.75	7%	40%	2.39
Beşiktaş -2	5%	32%	2.96

📈 How the market moved

Kauno Žalgiris 11%Draw 20%Beşiktaş 69%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

Our model's main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +2 start at odds 1.38, with a 95% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

Our model makes a Kauno Žalgiris win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş.

What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.05 for Beşiktaş. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.