KÍ KlaksvíkKÍ Klaksvík
Thu 13 Aug0-5Finished
Lech PoznanLech Poznan

⚽ UEFA Europa League

KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Result: KÍ Klaksvík 0-5 Lech Poznan

KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan finished 0-5. Lech Poznan won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

KÍ Klaksvík face Lech Poznan in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Lech Poznan won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a KÍ Klaksvík win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
KÍ Klaksvík +2 @ 1.25
92%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.9% 11.6% 6.8% 2.6% 0.8%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6%
3 4.4% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
KÍ Klaksvík winDrawLech Poznan win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is KÍ Klaksvík with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 92% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a KÍ Klaksvík win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

KÍ Klaksvík 41%Draw 29%Lech Poznan 30%
41%29%30%
41%
KÍ Klaksvík Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between KÍ Klaksvík and Lech Poznan. Wins shown from KÍ Klaksvík’s perspective: Lech Poznan 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-13 KÍ Klaksvík 0 – 5 Lech Poznan L
2026-08-06 Lech Poznan 1 – 0 KÍ Klaksvík L

📈 Recent form

KÍ Klaksvík

KÍ Klaksvík come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to EB / Streymur. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Vikingur Gota.

  • DKÍ Klaksvík 2-2 SkálaMeistaradeildin
  • W07 Vestur 0-1 KÍ KlaksvíkMeistaradeildin
  • LVikingur Gota 2-0 KÍ KlaksvíkLøgmanssteypid
  • WKÍ Klaksvík 3-0 EB / StreymurMeistaradeildin
  • LRiga 2-1 KÍ KlaksvíkUEFA Europa Conference
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Radomiak Radom. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Crystal Palace.

  • WLech Poznan 5-1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • LCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League
  • LGornik Zabrze 2-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
  • WLech Poznan 1-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • WLech Poznan 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices KÍ Klaksvík at 41% to win and Lech Poznan at 30%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a KÍ Klaksvík win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
KÍ Klaksvík Win 41% 17% @ 5.60
Lech Poznan Win 30% 62% @ 1.48
Draw 29% 21% @ 4.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is KÍ Klaksvík or Draw at 2.43 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
KÍ Klaksvík or Draw 69% 38% @ 2.43
Lech Poznan or Draw 57% 83% @ 1.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 81% @ 1.13
Under 3.5 69% 58% @ 1.58
Over 2.5 53% 62% @ 1.47
Under 2.5 47% 38% @ 2.43
Over 3.5 31% 42% @ 2.18
Under 1.5 23% 19% @ 4.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 55% 58% @ 1.58
BTTS No 45% 42% @ 2.17

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when KÍ Klaksvík or Lech Poznan is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
KÍ Klaksvík +2 92% 76% @ 1.25
KÍ Klaksvík +1.75 89% 68% @ 1.39
KÍ Klaksvík +1.5 87% 61% @ 1.54
KÍ Klaksvík +1.25 83% 58% @ 1.65
KÍ Klaksvík +1 78% 51% @ 1.84
KÍ Klaksvík +0.75 74% 45% @ 2.10
KÍ Klaksvík +0.5 69% 39% @ 2.42
Lech Poznan +0.75 63% 84% 1.13
KÍ Klaksvík +0.25 62% 33% @ 2.83
Lech Poznan +0.5 57% – 1.17
Lech Poznan +0.25 51% 76% 1.24
KÍ Klaksvík -0.25 49% 24% @ 3.90
Lech Poznan 0 44% – 1.25
Lech Poznan -0.25 38% 67% 1.41
KÍ Klaksvík -0.75 37% 16% @ 5.90
Lech Poznan -0.5 31% 61% 1.53
Lech Poznan -0.75 26% 55% 1.72
Lech Poznan -1 22% 49% 1.95
Lech Poznan -1.25 17% 42% 2.23
Lech Poznan -1.5 13% 39% 2.39
Lech Poznan -1.75 11% 32% 2.96
Lech Poznan -2 8% 24% 3.88

📈 How the market moved

13%40%67%08/1108/1208/13

KÍ Klaksvík 18%Draw 22%Lech Poznan 60%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan?

Our model's main pick is KÍ Klaksvík with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 92% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan?

Our model makes a KÍ Klaksvík win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan.

What is the predicted score for KÍ Klaksvík vs Lech Poznan?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for KÍ Klaksvík and 1.17 for Lech Poznan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do KÍ Klaksvík and Lech Poznan play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.