⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Kortrijk vs Charleroi Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kortrijk vs Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Kortrijk face Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Kortrijk won 1, Charleroi won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kortrijk vs Charleroi with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.38

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.87 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	14.0%	10.5%	5.3%	2.0%
1	8.1%	12.2%	9.1%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.5%	5.3%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.0%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Kortrijk winDrawCharleroi win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kortrijk vs Charleroi is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Charleroi win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.10 (+16.3% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.10, 55% model probability, +16.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Kortrijk 21%Draw 27%Charleroi 51%

21%27%51%

51%

Charleroi Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

+16.3%

Best value: BTTS No

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Kortrijk and Charleroi. Wins shown from Kortrijk’s perspective: Kortrijk 1 · Charleroi 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-12-26	Kortrijk	0 – 1	Charleroi	L
2024-08-25	Charleroi	1 – 0	Kortrijk	L
2024-05-11	Charleroi	3 – 1	Kortrijk	L
2024-04-14	Kortrijk	1 – 2	Charleroi	L
2024-02-03	Kortrijk	1 – 0	Charleroi	W

📈 Recent form

Kortrijk

Kortrijk come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Knokke. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Antwerp.

LKortrijk 0-3 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
LClub Brugge KV 3-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LKortrijk 1-2 ReimsFriendlies Clubs
DKortrijk 1-1 AmiensFriendlies Clubs
WKortrijk 4-1 KnokkeFriendlies Clubs

Charleroi

Charleroi come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to KV Mechelen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Rayo Vallecano.

WCharleroi 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
WLommel United 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
WCharleroi 3-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
LCharleroi 2-3 Rayo VallecanoFriendlies Clubs
WCharleroi 2-1 Seraing UnitedFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kortrijk at 21% to win and Charleroi at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charleroi Win	51%	@ 1.95	+0.1%
Draw	27%	@ 3.50	-4.4%
Kortrijk Win	21%	@ 3.65	-22.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charleroi or Draw at 1.25 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charleroi or Draw	77%	@ 1.25	-3.5%
Kortrijk or Draw	47%	@ 1.80	-15.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.70	+16.6%
Under 2.5	58%	@ 2.00	+15.5%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.38	+8.3%
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.25	-14.4%
Over 2.5	42%	@ 1.80	-24.0%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.00	-35.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	55%	@ 2.10	+16.3%
BTTS Yes	45%	@ 1.62	-27.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.10 (+16.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for Kortrijk vs Charleroi.

What is the predicted score for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.87 for Kortrijk and 1.50 for Charleroi. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kortrijk and Charleroi play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.