Sat 29 Aug1-3Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Kortrijk vs Charleroi Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kortrijk vs Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Kortrijk 1-3 Charleroi

Kortrijk vs Charleroi finished 1-3. Charleroi won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Kortrijk face Charleroi in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Charleroi won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 0.9-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kortrijk vs Charleroi with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.32

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.87 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	14.0%	10.5%	5.3%	2.0%
1	8.1%	12.2%	9.1%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.5%	5.3%	4.0%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.0%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Kortrijk winDrawCharleroi win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kortrijk vs Charleroi comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Charleroi win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Kortrijk 21%Draw 27%Charleroi 51%

21%27%51%

51%

Charleroi Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Kortrijk and Charleroi. Wins shown from Kortrijk’s perspective: Charleroi 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Kortrijk	1 – 3	Charleroi	L
2024-12-26	Kortrijk	0 – 1	Charleroi	L
2024-08-25	Charleroi	1 – 0	Kortrijk	L
2024-05-11	Charleroi	3 – 1	Kortrijk	L
2024-04-14	Kortrijk	1 – 2	Charleroi	L

📈 Recent form

Kortrijk

Kortrijk come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at RAAL La Louvière.

WKortrijk 1-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
LRAAL La Louvière 3-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LKortrijk 0-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LKortrijk 1-3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League

Charleroi

Charleroi come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Kortrijk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Union St. Gilloise.

WCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
WZulte Waregem 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
LCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WKortrijk 1-3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
WCharleroi 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kortrijk at 21% to win and Charleroi at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charleroi Win	51%	48%	@ 1.92
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.45
Kortrijk Win	21%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charleroi or Draw at 1.25 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Charleroi or Draw	77%	75%	@ 1.25
Kortrijk or Draw	47%	52%	@ 1.84

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	71%	@ 1.32
Over 1.5	68%	74%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	58%	50%	@ 1.87
Over 2.5	42%	50%	@ 1.88
Under 1.5	32%	26%	@ 3.65
Over 3.5	22%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	55%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	45%	54%	@ 1.71

📈 How the market moved

Kortrijk 25%Draw 27%Charleroi 48%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

Our model makes a Charleroi win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.5 scoreline for Kortrijk vs Charleroi.

What is the predicted score for Kortrijk vs Charleroi?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.87 for Kortrijk and 1.50 for Charleroi. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kortrijk and Charleroi play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.