⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

KuPS face Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a KuPS win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.47 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	8.4%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.7%	12.3%	7.1%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.0%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.9%	4.4%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

KuPS winDrawShamrock Rovers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a KuPS win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at odds 1.73 (+3.7% model value).

Best value

Shamrock Rovers or Draw at odds 1.73, 60% model probability, +3.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

KuPS 38%Draw 31%Shamrock Rovers 31%

38%31%31%

38%

KuPS Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+3.7%

Best value: Shamrock Rovers or Draw

📈 Recent form

KuPS

KuPS come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Lahti. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Universitatea Craiova.

DShamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPSUEFA Europa Conference
WLahti 1-2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
LUniversitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPSUEFA Europa League
DKuPS 1-1 Turku PSVeikkausliiga
DKuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Egnatia Rrogozhinë. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

DShamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPSUEFA Europa Conference
DSt Patrick's Athl. 2-2 Shamrock RoversFAI Cup
LEgnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa League
WShamrock Rovers 3-2 DundalkPremier Division
WShamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices KuPS at 38% to win and Shamrock Rovers at 31%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a KuPS win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	31%	@ 3.50	+7.5%
Shamrock Rovers Win	31%	@ 3.35	+5.3%
KuPS Win	38%	@ 2.06	-22.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at 1.73 (60% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Shamrock Rovers or Draw	60%	@ 1.73	+3.7%
KuPS or Draw	66%	@ 1.30	-13.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	51%	@ 2.00	+2.7%
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.38	+1.0%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 3.75	-1.2%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.25	-7.9%
Over 2.5	49%	@ 1.80	-12.4%
Over 3.5	27%	@ 3.00	-19.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	49%	@ 2.10	+2.5%
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.62	-17.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at 1.73 (+3.7% value).

Who is the favourite for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our model makes a KuPS win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers.

What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.47 for KuPS and 1.15 for Shamrock Rovers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do KuPS and Shamrock Rovers play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.