LarneLarne
Thu 27 Aug0-2Finished
Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Larne 0-2 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC finished 0-2. Lincoln Red Imps FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Larne face Lincoln Red Imps FC in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Larne won 2, Lincoln Red Imps FC won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Larne win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.25
79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.00 – 0.91 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
3 7.3% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Larne winDrawLincoln Red Imps FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Larne win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Larne 46%Draw 29%Lincoln Red Imps FC 25%
46%29%25%
46%
Larne Win
56%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC. Wins shown from Larne’s perspective: Larne 2 · Lincoln Red Imps FC 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-27 Larne 0 – 2 Lincoln Red Imps FC L
2026-08-20 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 – 2 Larne W
2024-08-29 Larne 3 – 1 Lincoln Red Imps FC W
2024-08-22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 – 1 Larne L

📈 Recent form

Larne

Larne come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Carrick Rangers. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WCarrick Rangers 2-5 LarnePremiership
  • WLarne 2-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
  • WPortadown 0-2 LarnePremiership
  • WLarne 1-0 BangorPremiership
  • WLarne 2-1 GlentoranPremiership
Lincoln Red Imps FC

Lincoln Red Imps FC come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Europa Point. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Larne.

  • DMons Calpe 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCPremier Division
  • WLincoln Red Imps FC 4-0 Europa PointPremier Division
  • WGlacis United 0-2 Lincoln Red Imps FCPremier Division
  • WLarne 0-2 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference
  • LLincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 LarneUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Larne at 46% to win and Lincoln Red Imps FC at 25%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Larne win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Larne Win 46% 45% @ 2.06
Draw 29% 28% @ 3.40
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win 25% 27% @ 3.45

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Larne or Draw at 1.26 (73% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Larne or Draw 73% 73% @ 1.26
Lincoln Red Imps FC or Draw 53% 55% @ 1.68

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 79% 74% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 67% 71% @ 1.30
Over 2.5 56% 50% @ 1.84
Under 2.5 44% 50% @ 1.84
Over 3.5 33% 29% @ 3.15
Under 1.5 21% 26% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 51% 54% @ 1.70
BTTS No 49% 46% @ 1.98

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

Our model makes a Larne win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC.

What is the predicted score for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Larne and 0.91 for Lincoln Red Imps FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.