⚽ Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Monaco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Le Havre vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.
Result: Le Havre 0-1 Monaco
Le Havre vs Monaco finished 0-1. Monaco won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Le Havre face Monaco in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:15 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Monaco won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.2-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Le Havre vs Monaco with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Le Havre vs Monaco comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Monaco or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Monaco win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Le Havre and Monaco. Wins shown from Le Havre’s perspective: 2 drawn · Monaco 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Le Havre | 0 – 1 | Monaco | L |
| 2026-01-24 | Le Havre | 0 – 0 | Monaco | D |
| 2025-08-16 | Monaco | 3 – 1 | Le Havre | L |
| 2025-04-26 | Le Havre | 1 – 1 | Monaco | D |
| 2024-09-22 | Monaco | 3 – 1 | Le Havre | L |
📈 Recent form
Le Havre come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Toulouse.
- LToulouse 3-2 Le HavreLigue 1
- DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
- LLe Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
- DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
- LLe Havre 0-1 MonacoLigue 1
Monaco come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
- WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1
- WMonaco 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa Conference
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. MambimbiInjury
- A. ToureKnee Injury
- S. ZagadouInjury
- M. AblineFoot Injury
- F. BalogunInjury
- E. DiopInjury
- A. FatiCalf Injury
- C. MawissaSuspended (cards)
- T. MinaminoKnee Injury
- M. SalisuKnee Injury
- J. TezeMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Le Havre at 21% to win and Monaco at 53%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco Win | 53% | 50% | @ 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Le Havre Win | 21% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.26 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco or Draw | 78% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Le Havre or Draw | 46% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | @ 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 60% | @ 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Le Havre or Monaco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco +1.25 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Monaco +1 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Monaco +0.75 | 82% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Le Havre +2 | 79% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Monaco +0.5 | 78% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Le Havre +1.75 | 74% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Monaco +0.25 | 72% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Le Havre +1.5 | 70% | – | 1.33 |
| Monaco 0 | 66% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Le Havre +1.25 | 64% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Monaco -0.25 | 60% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Le Havre +1 | 58% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Monaco -0.5 | 54% | 50% | @ 1.89 |
| Le Havre +0.75 | 52% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Monaco -0.75 | 48% | 44% | @ 2.19 |
| Le Havre +0.5 | 46% | 50% | 1.91 |
| Monaco -1 | 42% | 36% | @ 2.66 |
| Le Havre +0.25 | 40% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Monaco -1.25 | 36% | 32% | @ 2.96 |
| Le Havre 0 | 34% | 35% | 2.75 |
| Le Havre -0.25 | 28% | 30% | 3.17 |
| Monaco -1.75 | 26% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Le Havre -0.5 | 22% | 27% | 3.49 |
| Monaco -2 | 21% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Le Havre -0.75 | 18% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Le Havre -1 | 15% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Le Havre -1.25 | 11% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Monaco?
Our model's main pick is Monaco or Draw at odds 1.26, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Le Havre vs Monaco?
Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline for Le Havre vs Monaco.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Monaco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Le Havre and 1.88 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Le Havre and Monaco play?
Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 15:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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