⚽ Serie A

Lecce vs AS Roma Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lecce vs AS Roma in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 31 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lecce 0-4 AS Roma

Lecce vs AS Roma finished 0-4. AS Roma won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Lecce Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.43, did not land.

Lecce face AS Roma in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Monday 31 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Lecce have 4 wins from their last 5, while AS Roma have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 0.8-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lecce vs AS Roma with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lecce Asian Handicap +1.75 @ 1.43

70%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.75 – 1.66 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	14.9%	12.4%	6.8%	2.8%
1	6.7%	11.2%	9.3%	5.1%	2.1%
2	2.5%	4.2%	3.5%	1.9%	0.8%
3	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Lecce winDrawAS Roma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lecce vs AS Roma is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Lecce Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.43, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates an AS Roma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Lecce with a +1 start at odds 2.09 (+11.0% model value).

Best value

Lecce +1 at odds 2.09, 53% model probability, +11.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Lecce 16%Draw 26%AS Roma 58%

16%26%58%

58%

AS Roma Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS no

+11.0%

Best value: Lecce +1

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lecce and AS Roma. Wins shown from Lecce’s perspective: AS Roma 5.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-31	Lecce	0 – 4	AS Roma	L
2026-03-22	AS Roma	1 – 0	Lecce	L
2026-01-06	Lecce	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2025-03-29	Lecce	0 – 1	AS Roma	L
2024-12-07	AS Roma	4 – 1	Lecce	L

📈 Recent form

Lecce

Lecce come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Bistrica. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to AS Roma.

LLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A
WVenezia 0-2 LecceSerie A
LPalermo 2-0 LecceCoppa Italia
WLecce 1-0 SS MonopoliFriendlies Clubs
WLecce 5-2 BistricaFriendlies Clubs

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Brighton.

WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A
WAS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaSerie A
DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs
LBrighton 3-0 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs
WNewport County 1-4 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lecce

L. BandaNot in squad
A. GalloInjury

AS Roma

M. BahKnee Injury
L. PellegriniThigh Injury
D. RenschMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lecce at 16% to win and AS Roma at 58%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lecce Win	16%	@ 8.00	+31.8%
Draw	26%	@ 4.30	+11.9%
AS Roma Win	58%	@ 1.41	-18.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lecce or Draw at 2.80 (41% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lecce or Draw	41%	@ 2.80	+14.1%
AS Roma or Draw	82%	@ 1.08	-11.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.40	+4.1%
Under 2.5	57%	@ 1.79	+1.5%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.27	-1.4%
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.30	-9.8%
Over 2.5	43%	@ 1.98	-14.3%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.60	-19.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	58%	@ 1.61	-6.2%
BTTS Yes	42%	@ 2.23	-6.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lecce or AS Roma is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lecce 0	30%	@ 5.88	+73.4%
Lecce -0.25	24%	@ 6.40	+52.8%
Lecce +0.25	35%	@ 3.57	+25.3%
Lecce +0.75	47%	@ 2.42	+13.3%
Lecce +0.5	41%	@ 2.78	+13.1%
Lecce +1	53%	@ 2.09	+11.0%
Lecce +1.25	59%	@ 1.77	+5.0%
Lecce +1.5	66%	@ 1.59	+4.3%
Lecce +1.75	70%	1.43	-0.2%
Lecce +2	75%	1.27	-5.2%
AS Roma +0.5	82%	1.09	-10.9%
AS Roma +0.25	76%	1.12	-14.7%
AS Roma -0.5	59%	1.44	-14.7%
AS Roma -1.75	30%	2.85	-14.8%
AS Roma -1.25	41%	2.08	-15.2%
AS Roma -0.25	65%	1.30	-15.3%
AS Roma -0.75	53%	1.58	-15.9%
AS Roma -1	47%	1.77	-16.9%
AS Roma 0	70%	1.15	-19.3%
AS Roma -1.5	34%	2.33	-19.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lecce vs AS Roma?

Our main pick is Lecce Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.43, with 70% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Lecce with a +1 start at 2.09 (+11.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Lecce vs AS Roma?

Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.7 scoreline for Lecce vs AS Roma.

What is the predicted score for Lecce vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.75 for Lecce and 1.66 for AS Roma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lecce and AS Roma play?

Kick-off is Monday 31 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.