vs
⚽ UEFA Europa League
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Lillestrom 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.42, landed.
Lillestrom face Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win or draw at odds 2.58 (+59.8% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Wins shown from Lillestrom’s perspective: 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lillestrom | 1 – 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | D |
| 2026-08-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 – 0 | Lillestrom | D |
📈 Recent form
Lillestrom come into this game with 0 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Rosenborg.
- DLillestrom 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
- DEgnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
- DKFUM Oslo 1-1 LillestromEliteserien
- LLillestrom 0-2 RosenborgEliteserien
- LBodo/Glimt 4-0 LillestromEliteserien
Egnatia Rrogozhinë come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Shamrock Rovers. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Shamrock Rovers.
- DLillestrom 1-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 3-0 TiranaSuperliga
- DEgnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 LillestromUEFA Europa League
- WEgnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa League
- LShamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Europa League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Lillestrom at 20% to win and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 17%, with the draw at 63%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 63% | @ 4.10 | +158.0% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win | 17% | @ 6.00 | +4.1% |
| Lillestrom Win | 20% | @ 1.52 | -70.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw at 2.45 (62% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw | 62% | @ 2.45 | +51.9% |
| Lillestrom or Draw | 64% | @ 1.12 | -27.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | @ 1.25 | -3.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | @ 1.80 | -4.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | @ 1.38 | -4.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | @ 2.00 | -6.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | @ 3.00 | -6.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | @ 3.80 | -12.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.83 | +1.5% |
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 1.83 | -18.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lillestrom or Egnatia Rrogozhinë is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.25 | 42% | @ 5.00 | +111.1% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5 | 36% | @ 5.75 | +104.7% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 | 55% | @ 3.29 | +82.3% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5 | 62% | @ 2.58 | +59.8% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.75 | 67% | @ 2.35 | +57.7% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1 | 72% | @ 2.02 | +46.4% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25 | 78% | @ 1.74 | +34.8% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5 | 83% | @ 1.57 | +29.9% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.75 | 86% | @ 1.42 | +21.2% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë +2 | 88% | @ 1.26 | +11.9% |
| Lillestrom +0.5 | 64% | 1.14 | -26.6% |
| Lillestrom +0.25 | 58% | 1.17 | -32.4% |
| Lillestrom 0 | 51% | 1.18 | -39.6% |
| Lillestrom -0.25 | 45% | 1.32 | -40.9% |
| Lillestrom -0.5 | 38% | 1.47 | -44.2% |
| Lillestrom -0.75 | 33% | 1.59 | -47.9% |
| Lillestrom -1 | 28% | 1.79 | -50.8% |
| Lillestrom -1.25 | 22% | 2.08 | -53.5% |
| Lillestrom -2 | 12% | 3.69 | -57.4% |
| Lillestrom -1.75 | 14% | 2.81 | -59.8% |
| Lillestrom -1.5 | 17% | 2.34 | -60.0% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our main pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.42, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win or draw at 2.58 (+59.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Lillestrom and 1.17 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë play?
Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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