⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Lommel United vs Charleroi Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lommel United vs Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Lommel United 0-1 Charleroi

Lommel United vs Charleroi finished 0-1. Charleroi won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Lommel United face Charleroi in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:15 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lommel United vs Charleroi with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lommel United +1.25 @ 1.27

86%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	7.0%	4.1%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.5%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.2%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lommel United winDrawCharleroi win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lommel United vs Charleroi is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Lommel United with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a Lommel United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Lommel United to win by 0+ goals at odds 2.81 (+52.7% model value).

Best value

Lommel United -0.25 at odds 2.81, 54% model probability, +52.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Lommel United 48%Draw 26%Charleroi 26%

48%26%26%

48%

Lommel United Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+52.7%

Best value: Lommel United -0.25

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lommel United at 48% to win and Charleroi at 26%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lommel United Win	48%	@ 3.18	+52.0%
Draw	26%	@ 3.34	-13.8%
Charleroi Win	26%	@ 2.20	-41.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lommel United or Draw at 1.66 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lommel United or Draw	73%	@ 1.66	+21.6%
Charleroi or Draw	52%	@ 1.34	-30.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	53%	@ 1.92	+2.4%
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.27	+1.3%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.28	-1.5%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.33	-8.1%
Under 2.5	47%	@ 1.88	-12.2%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.61	-17.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	@ 1.70	-6.1%
BTTS No	45%	@ 2.04	-9.0%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lommel United or Charleroi is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lommel United -0.75	42%	@ 4.13	+73.9%
Lommel United -0.25	54%	@ 2.81	+52.7%
Lommel United -0.5	48%	@ 3.09	+48.3%
Lommel United -1.5	24%	@ 5.80	+42.1%
Lommel United 0	61%	@ 2.31	+40.1%
Lommel United +0.25	67%	@ 1.92	+28.3%
Lommel United +0.5	73%	@ 1.66	+21.4%
Lommel United +0.75	78%	@ 1.51	+17.0%
Lommel United +1.5	90%	@ 1.24	+10.9%
Lommel United +1.25	86%	@ 1.27	+8.8%
Lommel United +1	82%	@ 1.33	+8.5%
Charleroi +1.5	76%	1.08	-18.5%
Charleroi +0.75	58%	1.25	-27.6%
Charleroi +0.5	52%	1.35	-29.8%
Charleroi +0.25	46%	1.47	-32.9%
Charleroi -1	18%	3.49	-35.7%
Charleroi 0	39%	1.61	-36.5%
Charleroi -0.25	33%	1.93	-36.5%
Charleroi -0.75	22%	2.67	-39.9%
Charleroi -0.5	27%	2.17	-42.1%
Charleroi -1.25	14%	3.94	-43.7%
Charleroi -1.5	10%	3.85	-60.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Charleroi?

Our main pick is Lommel United with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Lommel United to win by 0+ goals at 2.81 (+52.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs Charleroi?

Our model makes a Lommel United win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Lommel United vs Charleroi.

What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Charleroi?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Lommel United and 1.16 for Charleroi. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lommel United and Charleroi play?

Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.