Sun 18 Oct15:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Lorient vs Monaco Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lorient vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lorient face Monaco in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Lorient have 2 wins from their last 5, while Monaco have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Lorient won 2, 2 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 46%, implying a 1.1-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lorient vs Monaco with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Lorient win	28%
Draw	26%
Monaco win	46%
Over 2.5 goals	50%
Both teams to score	53%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.15 – 1.50 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	10.6%	7.9%	4.0%	1.5%
1	8.1%	12.2%	9.1%	4.6%	1.7%
2	4.7%	7.0%	5.3%	2.6%	1.0%
3	1.8%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lorient winDrawMonaco win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Lorient vs Monaco. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Monaco win is the most likely result at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 50%. Both teams to score: yes at 53%.

📊 Key numbers

Lorient 28%Draw 26%Monaco 46%

28%26%46%

46%

Monaco Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Lorient and Monaco. Wins shown from Lorient’s perspective: Lorient 2 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-16	Monaco	1 – 3	Lorient	W
2025-09-27	Lorient	3 – 1	Monaco	W
2024-03-17	Monaco	2 – 2	Lorient	D
2023-09-17	Lorient	2 – 2	Monaco	D

📈 Recent form

Lorient

Lorient come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Paris FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Le Mans.

WLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLorient 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
WLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1
LLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Marseille. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DMonaco 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lorient at 28% to win and Monaco at 46%, with the draw at 26%. The bookmaker market makes a Monaco win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Monaco Win	46%	@ 2.05
Lorient Win	28%	@ 3.30
Draw	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Monaco or Draw at 1.33 (72% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Monaco or Draw	72%	@ 1.33
Lorient or Draw	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	70%	@ 1.36
Over 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	30%	@ 3.20
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	47%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Monaco?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Monaco win is the most likely result at 46%.

Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Monaco?

Our model makes a Monaco win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.5 scoreline for Lorient vs Monaco.

What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Monaco?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Lorient and 1.50 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lorient and Monaco play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.