Sun 23 Aug1-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Portland Timbers

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Los Angeles FC face Portland Timbers in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Los Angeles FC won 1, Portland Timbers won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Portland Timbers +2 @ 1.25

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.43 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	5.1%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
1	6.8%	9.7%	7.0%	3.3%	1.2%
2	6.5%	9.2%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.1%	5.9%	4.2%	2.0%	0.7%
4	1.9%	2.8%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Los Angeles FC winDrawPortland Timbers win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Portland Timbers with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

📊 Key numbers

Los Angeles FC 50%Draw 23%Portland Timbers 27%

50%23%27%

50%

Los Angeles FC Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from Los Angeles FC’s perspective: Los Angeles FC 1 · 2 drawn · Portland Timbers 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	Los Angeles FC	1 – 1	Portland Timbers	D
2026-04-11	Portland Timbers	2 – 1	Los Angeles FC	L
2024-04-28	Los Angeles FC	3 – 2	Portland Timbers	W
2024-04-13	Portland Timbers	2 – 2	Los Angeles FC	D
2023-09-10	Portland Timbers	2 – 0	Los Angeles FC	L

📈 Recent form

Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Sporting Kansas City.

DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-4 at home to Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Atlanta United FC.

LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
LFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
LPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Los Angeles FC

T. HasalArm Injury
Igor JesusKnee Injury
D. MartinezLeg Injury
S. PalenciaGroin Injury

Portland Timbers

A. AravenaHip Injury
A. BonetigUpper Back Injury
B. ByeLeg Injury
J. MosqueraFoot Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 50% to win and Portland Timbers at 27%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC Win	50%	59%	@ 1.58
Portland Timbers Win	27%	20%	@ 4.70
Draw	23%	22%	@ 4.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.18 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Los Angeles FC or Draw	74%	80%	@ 1.18
Portland Timbers or Draw	51%	41%	@ 2.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	65%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 3.5	57%	53%	@ 1.77
Over 3.5	43%	47%	@ 1.98
Under 2.5	35%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	16%	15%	@ 6.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	62%	64%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	38%	36%	@ 2.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles FC or Portland Timbers is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Portland Timbers +2	82%	76%	@ 1.25
Portland Timbers +1.75	78%	70%	@ 1.36
Los Angeles FC +0.75	78%	83%	1.14
Portland Timbers +1.5	75%	63%	@ 1.50
Los Angeles FC +0.5	74%	78%	1.20
Portland Timbers +1.25	69%	60%	@ 1.60
Los Angeles FC +0.25	68%	76%	1.26
Portland Timbers +1	63%	55%	@ 1.75
Los Angeles FC 0	62%	72%	1.32
Portland Timbers +0.75	57%	48%	@ 2.00
Los Angeles FC -0.25	55%	64%	1.50
Portland Timbers +0.5	51%	42%	@ 2.22
Los Angeles FC -0.5	49%	58%	1.64
Portland Timbers +0.25	45%	36%	@ 2.64
Los Angeles FC -0.75	43%	52%	1.86
Portland Timbers 0	38%	28%	@ 3.46
Los Angeles FC -1	37%	45%	2.10
Portland Timbers -0.25	32%	24%	@ 3.92
Los Angeles FC -1.25	31%	40%	2.38
Portland Timbers -0.5	26%	22%	@ 4.17
Los Angeles FC -1.5	25%	37%	2.54
Los Angeles FC -1.75	22%	30%	3.15
Portland Timbers -0.75	22%	17%	@ 5.75
Los Angeles FC -2	18%	24%	4.03

📈 How the market moved

Los Angeles FC 57%Draw 22%Portland Timbers 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

Our model's main pick is Portland Timbers with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Los Angeles FC and 1.43 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Los Angeles FC and Portland Timbers play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.