⚽ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Los Angeles Galaxy face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC. Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portland Timbers have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, Portland Timbers won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.2-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from Los Angeles Galaxy’s perspective: Los Angeles Galaxy 1 · 2 drawn · Portland Timbers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-19 | Portland Timbers | 4 – 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L |
| 2024-07-21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 – 2 | Portland Timbers | W |
| 2023-10-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 – 3 | Portland Timbers | D |
| 2023-03-25 | Portland Timbers | 0 – 0 | Los Angeles Galaxy | D |
📈 Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 2-6 at St. Louis City.
- LSt. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Portland Timbers come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. LozanoHamstring Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- A. BonetigShoulder Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- Z. McGrawBack Injury
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- H. SulteLower-Body Injury
- F. SurmanKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles Galaxy at 56% to win and Portland Timbers at 18%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 56% | 50% | @ 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Portland Timbers Win | 18% | 26% | @ 3.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.28 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 81% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 42% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | 51% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Our model's pick is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.6 scoreline for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.18 for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.58 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers play?
Kick-off is Thursday 15 October 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
RB Bragantinovs
CruzeiroBrazilian Série ATue 13 Oct00:00
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.