⚽ Ligue 1

Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lyon vs Le Havre in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lyon face Le Havre in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Lyon have 3 wins from their last 5, while Le Havre have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lyon won 3, Le Havre won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lyon vs Le Havre with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	6.1%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.0%	11.0%	6.0%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.8%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.4%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lyon winDrawLe Havre win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.85 (+3.2% model value).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.85, 56% model probability, +3.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Lyon 56%Draw 25%Le Havre 20%

56%25%20%

56%

Lyon Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+3.2%

Best value: BTTS Yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lyon and Le Havre. Wins shown from Lyon’s perspective: Lyon 3 · 1 drawn · Le Havre 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-15	Le Havre	0 – 0	Lyon	D
2025-12-14	Lyon	1 – 0	Le Havre	W
2025-03-16	Lyon	4 – 2	Le Havre	W
2024-10-20	Le Havre	0 – 4	Lyon	W
2024-01-14	Le Havre	3 – 1	Lyon	L

📈 Recent form

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Sparta Praha. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Sparta Praha.

WToulouse 0-2 LyonLigue 1
DFenerbahçe 1-1 LyonUEFA Champions League
WLyon 3-0 Sparta PrahaUEFA Champions League
LSparta Praha 2-1 LyonUEFA Champions League
LReal Betis 4-0 LyonFriendlies Clubs

Le Havre

Le Havre come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Ipswich.

WLe Mans 0-1 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
LIpswich 1-0 Le HavreFriendlies Clubs
DLe Havre 1-1 LavalFriendlies Clubs
LLe Havre 1-2 AmiensFriendlies Clubs
WLorient 0-2 Le HavreLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lyon at 56% to win and Le Havre at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Le Havre Win	20%	@ 6.25	+22.4%
Draw	25%	@ 4.10	+1.5%
Lyon Win	56%	@ 1.50	-16.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Le Havre or Draw at 2.50 (44% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Le Havre or Draw	44%	@ 2.50	+9.3%
Lyon or Draw	80%	@ 1.11	-11.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	55%	@ 1.80	-1.1%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.25	-2.2%
Over 3.5	33%	@ 3.00	-2.2%
Under 3.5	67%	@ 1.38	-7.0%
Under 2.5	45%	@ 2.00	-9.9%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.80	-17.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.85	+3.2%
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.83	-19.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.85 (+3.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Le Havre?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline for Lyon vs Le Havre.

What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Le Havre?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Lyon and 1.09 for Le Havre. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lyon and Le Havre play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.