vs
âš½ UEFA Europa Conference League
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Marsaxlokk 0-3 Pyunik Yerevan
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan finished 0-3. Pyunik Yerevan won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, landed.
Marsaxlokk face Pyunik Yerevan in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 87%. On the match result, the model rates a Marsaxlokk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 1.83 (+22.6% model value).
Key numbers
âš½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Marsaxlokk at 39% to win and Pyunik Yerevan at 34%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk Win | 39% | 3.90 | +53.1% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.25 | -14.3% |
| Pyunik Yerevan Win | 34% | 1.85 | -36.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Marsaxlokk or Draw at 1.85 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk or Draw | 66% | 1.85 | +21.4% |
| Pyunik Yerevan or Draw | 61% | 1.22 | -25.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 3.70 | +102.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 2.05 | +20.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 1.35 | +17.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 1.70 | -30.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 45% | 1.25 | -43.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 3.00 | -61.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.83 | +22.6% |
| BTTS No | 33% | 1.80 | -40.6% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 87% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 1.83 (+22.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our model makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan.
What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Marsaxlokk and 1.33 for Pyunik Yerevan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan play?
Kick-off is Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.