Mjällby AIF

Thu 20 Aug0-1Finished

Red Bull Salzburg

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

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Result: Mjällby AIF 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 0-1. Red Bull Salzburg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Mjällby AIF face Red Bull Salzburg in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mjällby AIF win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 2.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Mjällby AIF +1.75 @ 1.29

94%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.32 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	3.6%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
1	6.9%	8.3%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
2	8.0%	9.6%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.2%	7.4%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
4	3.6%	4.3%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Mjällby AIF winDrawRed Bull Salzburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Mjällby AIF with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 94% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Mjällby AIF win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Mjällby AIF 52%Draw 31%Red Bull Salzburg 17%

52%31%17%

52%

Mjällby AIF Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Mjällby AIF and Red Bull Salzburg. Wins shown from Mjällby AIF’s perspective: Red Bull Salzburg 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Red Bull Salzburg	3 – 0	Mjällby AIF	L
2026-08-20	Mjällby AIF	0 – 1	Red Bull Salzburg	L

📈 Recent form

Mjällby AIF

Mjällby AIF come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Gais.

LMjällby AIF 0-3 GaisAllsvenskan
DAIK Stockholm 1-1 Mjällby AIFAllsvenskan
DBK Hacken 1-1 Mjällby AIFAllsvenskan
LMjällby AIF 1-4 IFK GöteborgAllsvenskan
LMjällby AIF 0-2 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan

Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Sturm Graz. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WRed Bull Salzburg 3-0 Sturm GrazBundesliga
WLevski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
DRied 1-1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
WSKN ST. Polten 0-3 Red Bull SalzburgCup
WRed Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria ViennaBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mjällby AIF at 52% to win and Red Bull Salzburg at 17%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Mjällby AIF win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mjällby AIF Win	52%	22%	@ 4.20
Draw	31%	23%	@ 3.95
Red Bull Salzburg Win	17%	55%	@ 1.68

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mjällby AIF or Draw at 2.00 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mjällby AIF or Draw	79%	45%	@ 2.00
Red Bull Salzburg or Draw	44%	78%	@ 1.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	80%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	68%	61%	@ 1.49
Under 3.5	54%	59%	@ 1.56
Over 3.5	46%	41%	@ 2.23
Under 2.5	32%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	14%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	61%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	37%	39%	@ 2.33

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mjällby AIF or Red Bull Salzburg is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mjällby AIF +2	96%	79%	@ 1.20
Mjällby AIF +1.75	94%	–	@ 1.29
Mjällby AIF +1.5	93%	67%	@ 1.40
Mjällby AIF +1.25	90%	63%	@ 1.50
Mjällby AIF +1	86%	58%	@ 1.62
Mjällby AIF +0.75	83%	51%	@ 1.87
Mjällby AIF +0.5	79%	45%	@ 2.07
Mjällby AIF +0.25	74%	38%	@ 2.48
Red Bull Salzburg +1.5	69%	88%	1.05
Mjällby AIF 0	68%	29%	@ 3.24
Red Bull Salzburg +1.25	62%	86%	1.10
Mjällby AIF -0.25	62%	26%	@ 3.67
Red Bull Salzburg +1	56%	85%	1.12
Red Bull Salzburg +0.75	50%	–	1.18
Red Bull Salzburg +0.5	44%	–	1.23
Mjällby AIF -1	44%	15%	@ 6.40
Red Bull Salzburg +0.25	38%	74%	1.27
Mjällby AIF -1.25	38%	14%	@ 6.80
Red Bull Salzburg 0	32%	71%	1.34
Mjällby AIF -1.5	31%	12%	@ 7.50
Red Bull Salzburg -0.25	26%	62%	1.53
Red Bull Salzburg -0.5	21%	55%	1.71
Red Bull Salzburg -0.75	17%	49%	1.96
Red Bull Salzburg -1	14%	42%	2.28
Red Bull Salzburg -1.25	10%	37%	2.56
Red Bull Salzburg -1.5	7%	33%	2.81
Red Bull Salzburg -2	4%	21%	4.40

📈 How the market moved

Mjällby AIF 23%Draw 24%Red Bull Salzburg 54%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our model's main pick is Mjällby AIF with a +1.75 start at odds 1.29, with a 94% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our model makes a Mjällby AIF win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 2.3-1.2 scoreline for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg.

What is the predicted score for Mjällby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.32 for Mjällby AIF and 1.19 for Red Bull Salzburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mjällby AIF and Red Bull Salzburg play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.