⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Monaco face Gornik Zabrze in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.66 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.5%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Monaco winDrawGornik Zabrze win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.57, 68% model probability, +7.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Monaco 18%Draw 67%Gornik Zabrze 15%

18%67%15%

67%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+7.6%

Best value: Under 3.5

📈 Recent form

Monaco

Monaco come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Gornik Zabrze. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Coventry.

WGornik Zabrze 2-3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference
LCoventry 2-0 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
WLiverpool 2-3 MonacoFriendlies Clubs
WMonaco 1-0 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
DMonaco 2-2 Cercle BruggeFriendlies Clubs

Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Radomiak Radom. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Monaco.

LGornik Zabrze 2-3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference
WGornik Zabrze 2-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
DGornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
WRadomiak Radom 1-3 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
LFerencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Monaco at 18% to win and Gornik Zabrze at 15%, with the draw at 67%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	67%	@ 5.00	+236.1%
Gornik Zabrze Win	15%	@ 9.60	+42.1%
Monaco Win	18%	@ 1.30	-76.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at 3.30 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gornik Zabrze or Draw	62%	@ 3.30	+103.3%
Monaco or Draw	65%	@ 1.05	-32.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.40	+11.0%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.57	+7.6%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 4.75	+7.4%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.18	-8.7%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.55	-16.7%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.35	-26.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.83	+2.0%
BTTS No	44%	@ 1.85	-18.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 68% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Monaco and 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Monaco and Gornik Zabrze play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.