⚽ Serie A
Monza vs Udinese Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Monza vs Udinese in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Monza 2-3 Udinese
Monza vs Udinese finished 2-3. Udinese won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Monza face Udinese in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Monza won 1, Udinese won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Monza vs Udinese with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Monza vs Udinese comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Udinese with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Udinese win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Monza and Udinese. Wins shown from Monza’s perspective: Monza 1 · 2 drawn · Udinese 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monza | 2 – 3 | Udinese | L |
| 2025-05-11 | Udinese | 1 – 2 | Monza | W |
| 2024-12-09 | Monza | 1 – 2 | Udinese | L |
| 2024-02-03 | Udinese | 0 – 0 | Monza | D |
| 2023-10-29 | Monza | 1 – 1 | Udinese | D |
📈 Recent form
Monza come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Sassuolo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Lecce.
- WMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
- LLecce 3-2 MonzaSerie A
- DParma 1-1 MonzaSerie A
- WTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
- LMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A
Udinese come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Cagliari.
- LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
- LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
- LUdinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
- WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
- WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- P. CiurriaNot in squad
- M. PessinaKnee Injury
- I. ToureKnee Injury
- G. ChakvetadzeFoot Injury
- C. KabaseleSuspended (red card)
- M. PalmaMuscle Injury
- N. ZanioloThigh Injury
- A. ZanoliKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Monza at 22% to win and Udinese at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese Win | 51% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
| Monza Win | 22% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Udinese or Draw at 1.34 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese or Draw | 77% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Monza or Draw | 47% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 22% | @ 4.30 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Monza or Udinese is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese +1.5 | 92% | 86% | 1.09 |
| Udinese +1.25 | 88% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Udinese +1 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Udinese +0.75 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Udinese +0.5 | 77% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Monza +1.75 | 76% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Monza +1.5 | 72% | – | 1.17 |
| Udinese +0.25 | 71% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Monza +1.25 | 66% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Udinese 0 | 65% | 56% | @ 1.69 |
| Monza +1 | 60% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Udinese -0.25 | 59% | 46% | @ 2.10 |
| Monza +0.75 | 53% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Udinese -0.5 | 53% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Monza +0.5 | 47% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Udinese -0.75 | 47% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| Monza +0.25 | 41% | 54% | 1.79 |
| Udinese -1 | 40% | 23% | @ 4.12 |
| Monza 0 | 35% | 44% | 2.16 |
| Udinese -1.25 | 34% | 21% | @ 4.64 |
| Monza -0.25 | 29% | 37% | 2.60 |
| Udinese -1.75 | 24% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Monza -0.5 | 23% | 31% | 3.05 |
| Monza -0.75 | 19% | 25% | 3.88 |
| Monza -1 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Monza -1.25 | 12% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Monza -1.5 | 8% | 14% | 6.65 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Monza vs Udinese?
Our model's main pick is Udinese with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Monza vs Udinese?
Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Monza vs Udinese.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Udinese?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for Monza and 1.59 for Udinese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Monza and Udinese play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sabah FAvs
Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Lensvs
Sporting CPUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct16:45
Arsenalvs
LilleUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Villarrealvs
NapoliUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
Vikingvs
Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00
RB Leipzigvs
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.