⚽ Serie A

Monza vs Udinese Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Monza vs Udinese in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Monza face Udinese in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Monza won 1, Udinese won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Monza vs Udinese with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Udinese or Draw @ 1.36

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.03 – 1.59 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	11.6%	9.2%	4.9%	1.9%
1	7.5%	11.9%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.9%	6.1%	4.9%	2.6%	1.0%
3	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Monza winDrawUdinese win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Monza vs Udinese is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Udinese or Draw at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates an Udinese win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is an Udinese win at odds 2.28 (+16.7% model value).

Best value

Udinese Win at odds 2.28, 51% model probability, +16.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Monza 22%Draw 27%Udinese 51%

22%27%51%

51%

Udinese Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+16.7%

Best value: Udinese Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Monza and Udinese. Wins shown from Monza’s perspective: Monza 1 · 2 drawn · Udinese 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-05-11	Udinese	1 – 2	Monza	W
2024-12-09	Monza	1 – 2	Udinese	L
2024-02-03	Udinese	0 – 0	Monza	D
2023-10-29	Monza	1 – 1	Udinese	D

📈 Recent form

Monza

Monza come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Avellino. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Inter.

LInter 4-1 MonzaSerie A
WMonza 3-0 AvellinoCoppa Italia
DMonza 3-3 PadovaFriendlies Clubs
LMonza 1-3 Aris ThessalonikisFriendlies Clubs
WGalatasaray 0-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Padova. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Trabzonspor.

DUdinese 1-1 ComoSerie A
WUdinese 1-0 PadovaCoppa Italia
WUdinese 1-0 BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs
WUdinese 1-0 Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs
LTrabzonspor 1-0 UdineseFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Monza at 22% to win and Udinese at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Udinese Win	51%	@ 2.28	+16.7%
Draw	27%	@ 3.25	-11.2%
Monza Win	22%	@ 3.10	-33.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Udinese or Draw at 1.36 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Udinese or Draw	77%	@ 1.36	+4.8%
Monza or Draw	47%	@ 1.60	-24.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	27%	@ 4.20	+12.7%
Over 2.5	49%	@ 2.20	+7.0%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.38	+1.6%
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.22	-10.7%
Under 2.5	51%	@ 1.65	-15.3%
Under 1.5	26%	@ 2.95	-22.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.91	-3.4%
BTTS No	49%	@ 1.83	-9.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monza vs Udinese?

Our main pick is Udinese or Draw at odds 1.36, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is an Udinese win at 2.28 (+16.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Monza vs Udinese?

Our model makes an Udinese win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.6 scoreline for Monza vs Udinese.

What is the predicted score for Monza vs Udinese?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for Monza and 1.59 for Udinese. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Monza and Udinese play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.