Thu 13 Aug2-0Finished

HJK Helsinki

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Motherwell 2-0 HJK Helsinki

Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki finished 2-0. Motherwell won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Motherwell face HJK Helsinki in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Motherwell won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 2.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.38

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.05 – 0.93 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	4.7%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.4%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.7%	9.9%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.3%	6.8%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.7%	3.5%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Motherwell winDrawHJK Helsinki win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Motherwell win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Motherwell 45%Draw 27%HJK Helsinki 28%

45%27%28%

45%

Motherwell Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Motherwell and HJK Helsinki. Wins shown from Motherwell’s perspective: Motherwell 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Motherwell	2 – 0	HJK Helsinki	W
2026-08-06	HJK Helsinki	1 – 1	Motherwell	D

📈 Recent form

Motherwell

Motherwell come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Dundee Utd. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Dundee.

LDundee 2-1 MotherwellPremiership
LMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
LRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
DSt Mirren 3-3 MotherwellPremiership

HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Inter Turku. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Inter Turku.

DGnistan 1-1 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
DKuPS 0-0 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
WHJK Helsinki 2-1 Inter TurkuVeikkausliiga
LInter Turku 1-0 HJK HelsinkiSuomen Cup
WIlves 1-2 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Motherwell at 45% to win and HJK Helsinki at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Motherwell Win	45%	54%	@ 1.70
HJK Helsinki Win	28%	21%	@ 4.40
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Motherwell or Draw at 1.16 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Motherwell or Draw	71%	79%	@ 1.16
HJK Helsinki or Draw	55%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	76%	@ 1.21
Under 3.5	65%	67%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	57%	54%	@ 1.70
Under 2.5	43%	46%	@ 1.98
Over 3.5	35%	33%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	20%	24%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	54%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	47%	46%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

Our model makes a Motherwell win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Motherwell and 0.93 for HJK Helsinki. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Motherwell and HJK Helsinki play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.