⚽ Serie A

Napoli vs Como Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Napoli vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Napoli face Como in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Napoli have 3 wins from their last 5, while Como have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Napoli won 1, Como won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Napoli win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Napoli vs Como with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.42

71%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.22 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	10.6%	6.6%	2.8%	0.9%
1	10.3%	12.9%	8.1%	3.4%	1.0%
2	6.3%	7.9%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.6%	3.2%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Napoli winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Napoli vs Como is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 71%. On the match result, the model rates a Napoli win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

Best value

Over 1.5 at odds 1.42, 71% model probability, +0.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Napoli 40%Draw 28%Como 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Napoli Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

+0.3%

Best value: Over 1.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Napoli and Como. Wins shown from Napoli’s perspective: Napoli 1 · 2 drawn · Como 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-02	Como	0 – 0	Napoli	D
2025-11-01	Napoli	0 – 0	Como	D
2025-02-23	Como	2 – 1	Napoli	L
2024-10-04	Napoli	3 – 1	Como	W

📈 Recent form

Napoli

Napoli come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at home to Aris Thessalonikis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WGenoa 0-2 NapoliSerie A
WNapoli 6-2 Aris ThessalonikisFriendlies Clubs
DNapoli 1-1 Celta VigoFriendlies Clubs
WNapoli 2-1 OsasunaFriendlies Clubs
WNapoli 2-0 CarrareseFriendlies Clubs

Como

Como come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Liverpool.

DUdinese 1-1 ComoSerie A
LLiverpool 2-0 ComoFriendlies Clubs
DArsenal 1-1 ComoFriendlies Clubs
WFamalicao 2-3 ComoComo Cup
WCremonese 1-4 ComoSerie A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Napoli at 40% to win and Como at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Napoli win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Napoli Win	40%	@ 2.40	-4.2%
Como Win	32%	@ 2.92	-6.5%
Draw	28%	@ 3.20	-10.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.57 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Como or Draw	59%	@ 1.57	-7.0%
Napoli or Draw	67%	@ 1.35	-9.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.25	+0.9%
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.42	+0.3%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 4.20	-0.9%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.22	-6.8%
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.62	-10.7%
Under 1.5	29%	@ 2.80	-17.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.91	-4.3%
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.83	-8.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Como?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 71% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Napoli vs Como?

Our model makes a Napoli win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.2 scoreline for Napoli vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Como?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.22 for Napoli and 1.25 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Napoli and Como play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.