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⚽ Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

New England Revolution face Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New England Revolution have 3 wins from their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.57

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.34 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	9.3%	6.1%	2.6%	0.9%
1	9.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.3%	8.3%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.8%	3.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

New England Revolution winDrawSeattle Sounders win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Seattle Sounders win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

New England Revolution 36%Draw 26%Seattle Sounders 38%

36%26%38%

38%

Seattle Sounders Win

51%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

New England Revolution

New England Revolution come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Real Salt Lake.

LReal Salt Lake 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Minnesota United FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
WSeattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
WSeattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
DColorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New England Revolution at 36% to win and Seattle Sounders at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Seattle Sounders Win	38%	25%	@ 3.70
New England Revolution Win	36%	50%	@ 1.85
Draw	26%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.91 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Seattle Sounders or Draw	64%	50%	@ 1.91
New England Revolution or Draw	62%	75%	@ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	72%	59%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	51%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 2.5	49%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	28%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	26%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	46%	38%	@ 2.50

📈 How the market moved

New England Revolution 50%Draw 24%Seattle Sounders 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

Our model makes a Seattle Sounders win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.34 for New England Revolution and 1.31 for Seattle Sounders. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.