Sat 10 Oct23:30Upcoming

⚽ Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

New York Red Bulls face San Diego in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: New York Red Bulls have 2 wins from their last 5, while San Diego have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

New York Red Bulls or Draw @ 1.53

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.78 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	5.5%	4.3%	2.3%	0.9%
1	6.2%	9.8%	7.7%	4.0%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.7%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.3%	5.2%	4.1%	2.1%	0.8%
4	1.5%	2.3%	1.8%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

New York Red Bulls winDrawSan Diego win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

New York Red Bulls 49%Draw 28%San Diego 23%

49%28%23%

49%

New York Red Bulls Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to St. Louis City.

LNew York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer

San Diego

San Diego come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at home to Philadelphia Union.

DAustin 3-3 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
LSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
LSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
LOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 49% to win and San Diego at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls Win	49%	36%	@ 2.60
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.80
San Diego Win	23%	39%	@ 2.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.53 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls or Draw	76%	61%	@ 1.53
San Diego or Draw	49%	64%	@ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	86%	@ 1.10
Over 2.5	65%	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	57%	51%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	43%	49%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	35%	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	15%	14%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	69%	@ 1.36
BTTS No	35%	31%	@ 3.00

📈 How the market moved

New York Red Bulls 37%Draw 25%San Diego 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?

Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls or Draw at odds 1.53, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?

Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.6 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.78 for New York Red Bulls and 1.57 for San Diego. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New York Red Bulls and San Diego play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.