⚽ Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nice vs Lorient in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Nice 0-0 Lorient
Nice vs Lorient finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Nice face Lorient in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Nice won 1, Lorient won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nice vs Lorient with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nice vs Lorient comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Lorient with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nice win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nice and Lorient. Wins shown from Nice’s perspective: Nice 1 · 3 drawn · Lorient 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Nice | 0 – 0 | Lorient | D |
| 2026-02-22 | Nice | 3 – 3 | Lorient | D |
| 2025-11-30 | Lorient | 3 – 1 | Nice | L |
| 2024-04-19 | Nice | 3 – 0 | Lorient | W |
| 2023-08-20 | Lorient | 1 – 1 | Nice | D |
📈 Recent form
Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Auxerre.
- WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
- LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
- DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
- LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
- DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1
Lorient come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Lens. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Le Mans.
- LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
- DLorient 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
- WLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1
- LLorient 1-2 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. AbergelKnee Injury
- M. BombitoLeg Injury
- T. MoffiNot in squad
- A. WitselNot in squad
- M. BambaLacking Match Fitness
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nice at 40% to win and Lorient at 31%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Nice win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice Win | 40% | 45% | @ 2.06 |
| Lorient Win | 31% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nice or Draw at 1.30 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice or Draw | 67% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Lorient or Draw | 59% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 57% | @ 1.64 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 43% | @ 2.16 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nice or Lorient is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice +1.5 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lorient +1.75 | 84% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Nice +1.25 | 82% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Lorient +1.5 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Nice +1 | 77% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Lorient +1.25 | 75% | 74% | 1.30 |
| Nice +0.75 | 72% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Lorient +1 | 70% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Nice +0.5 | 67% | 71% | 1.32 |
| Lorient +0.75 | 64% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Nice +0.25 | 61% | 67% | 1.42 |
| Lorient +0.5 | 59% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Nice 0 | 54% | 61% | 1.54 |
| Lorient +0.25 | 52% | 48% | @ 2.01 |
| Nice -0.25 | 48% | 52% | 1.87 |
| Lorient 0 | 46% | 39% | @ 2.45 |
| Nice -0.5 | 41% | 45% | 2.07 |
| Lorient -0.25 | 39% | 33% | @ 2.92 |
| Nice -0.75 | 36% | 39% | 2.48 |
| Lorient -0.5 | 33% | 29% | @ 3.28 |
| Nice -1 | 30% | 30% | 3.21 |
| Lorient -0.75 | 28% | 22% | @ 4.29 |
| Nice -1.25 | 25% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Lorient -1 | 23% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Nice -1.5 | 19% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Lorient -1.25 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Nice -1.75 | 16% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Lorient -1.5 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nice vs Lorient?
Our model's main pick is Lorient with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Nice vs Lorient?
Our model makes a Nice win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Nice vs Lorient.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lorient?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Nice and 1.29 for Lorient. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nice and Lorient play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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