OH LeuvenvsStandard Liege

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

OH Leuven face Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: OH Leuven have 1 win from their last 5, while Standard Liege have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, OH Leuven won 1, Standard Liege won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Standard Liege win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.2-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.28
74%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.23 – 1.40 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.2% 10.1% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2%
1 8.9% 12.4% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4%
2 5.5% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9%
3 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
OH Leuven winDrawStandard Liege win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Standard Liege win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

Best value
Under 2.5 at odds 1.93, 51% model probability, -1.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

OH Leuven 32%Draw 27%Standard Liege 40%
32%27%40%
40%
Standard Liege Win
51%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
-1.4%
Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between OH Leuven and Standard Liege. Wins shown from OH Leuven’s perspective: OH Leuven 1 · 2 drawn · Standard Liege 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-05-08 Standard Liege 2 – 1 OH Leuven L
2026-04-04 OH Leuven 1 – 3 Standard Liege L
2025-04-26 OH Leuven 1 – 1 Standard Liege D
2025-04-22 Standard Liege 0 – 1 OH Leuven W
2024-12-07 Standard Liege 1 – 1 OH Leuven D

📈 Recent form

OH Leuven

OH Leuven come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to K. Lierse S.K.. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Club Brugge KV.

  • LOH Leuven 0-3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • LCharleroi 3-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • LOH Leuven 3-6 LilleFriendlies Clubs
  • DHeerenveen 4-4 OH LeuvenFriendlies Clubs
  • WOH Leuven 1-0 K. Lierse S.K.Friendlies Clubs
Standard Liege

Standard Liege come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to RAAL La Louvière. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to FC Viktoria Köln.

  • WStandard Liege 2-0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
  • DKV Mechelen 3-3 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
  • DStandard Liege 2-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • LStandard Liege 0-3 FC Viktoria KölnFriendlies Clubs
  • LStandard Liege 0-1 JuventusFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices OH Leuven at 32% to win and Standard Liege at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Standard Liege win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
OH Leuven Win 32% @ 2.90 -5.6%
Draw 27% @ 3.40 -7.4%
Standard Liege Win 40% @ 2.30 -7.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is OH Leuven or Draw at 1.57 (59% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
OH Leuven or Draw 59% @ 1.57 -6.9%
Standard Liege or Draw 67% @ 1.38 -7.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Under 2.5 51% @ 1.93 -1.4%
Under 3.5 73% @ 1.35 -1.5%
Over 1.5 74% @ 1.28 -5.5%
Under 1.5 26% @ 3.55 -7.1%
Over 2.5 49% @ 1.85 -9.5%
Over 3.5 27% @ 3.10 -16.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS No 47% @ 2.10 -0.7%
BTTS Yes 53% @ 1.62 -14.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 74% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Our model makes a Standard Liege win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.4 scoreline for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege.

What is the predicted score for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for OH Leuven and 1.40 for Standard Liege. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do OH Leuven and Standard Liege play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.