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⚽ Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Orlando City SC face Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Orlando City SC have 3 wins from their last 5, while Columbus Crew have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Columbus Crew won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.40

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 1.76 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	5.4%	4.7%	2.8%	1.2%
1	5.3%	9.3%	8.2%	4.8%	2.1%
2	4.6%	8.0%	7.1%	4.1%	1.8%
3	2.6%	4.6%	4.1%	2.4%	1.1%
4	1.1%	2.0%	1.8%	1.0%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

Orlando City SC winDrawColumbus Crew win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Orlando City SC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Orlando City SC 37%Draw 28%Columbus Crew 35%

37%28%35%

37%

Orlando City SC Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: 1 drawn · Columbus Crew 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-16	Columbus Crew	2 – 1	Orlando City SC	L
2026-04-12	Columbus Crew	1 – 1	Orlando City SC	D
2024-09-21	Columbus Crew	4 – 3	Orlando City SC	L
2024-05-25	Orlando City SC	0 – 2	Columbus Crew	L
2023-11-25	Orlando City SC	0 – 2	Columbus Crew	L

📈 Recent form

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Philadelphia Union.

LPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at CF Montreal. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.

WColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
LColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 37% to win and Columbus Crew at 35%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC Win	37%	46%	@ 2.00
Columbus Crew Win	35%	29%	@ 3.20
Draw	28%	24%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Orlando City SC or Draw at 1.36 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Orlando City SC or Draw	64%	71%	@ 1.36
Columbus Crew or Draw	62%	54%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	68%	67%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	54%	54%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	46%	46%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	32%	33%	@ 2.88
Under 1.5	14%	15%	@ 6.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	33%	34%	@ 2.75

📈 How the market moved

Orlando City SC 46%Draw 24%Columbus Crew 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our model makes an Orlando City SC win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Orlando City SC and 1.76 for Columbus Crew. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.