vs
⚽ La Liga
Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Osasuna vs Getafe in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
Osasuna face Getafe in the La Liga, kicking off Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Osasuna have 0 wins from their last 5, while Getafe have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Getafe won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Osasuna vs Getafe with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Osasuna vs Getafe is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates an Osasuna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Getafe with a +0.25 start at odds 2.00 (+9.1% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Osasuna and Getafe. Wins shown from Osasuna’s perspective: Osasuna 2 · 1 drawn · Getafe 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Getafe | 1 – 0 | Osasuna | L |
| 2025-10-03 | Osasuna | 2 – 1 | Getafe | W |
| 2025-03-16 | Osasuna | 1 – 2 | Getafe | L |
| 2024-10-05 | Getafe | 1 – 1 | Osasuna | D |
| 2024-01-21 | Osasuna | 3 – 2 | Getafe | W |
📈 Recent form
Osasuna come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Celta Vigo. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Al Ain.
- DOsasuna 0-0 LevanteLa Liga
- WCelta Vigo 1-2 OsasunaLa Liga
- LOsasuna 0-2 Al AinFriendlies Clubs
- LNapoli 2-1 OsasunaFriendlies Clubs
- WNorwich 1-2 OsasunaFriendlies Clubs
Getafe come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FK Partizan. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at FK Partizan.
- LFK Partizan 2-1 GetafeUEFA Europa Conference
- WGetafe 1-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- WGetafe 3-1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference
- LAlaves 3-0 GetafeLa Liga
- DTottenham 1-1 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- V. RosierHamstring Injury
- A. AbqarInjury
- JuanmiInjury
- M. MartinInjury
- C. UcheKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Osasuna at 36% to win and Getafe at 32%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe Win | 32% | @ 3.80 | +21.3% |
| Draw | 32% | @ 2.95 | -6.4% |
| Osasuna Win | 36% | @ 2.20 | -20.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Getafe or Draw at 1.66 (61% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe or Draw | 61% | @ 1.66 | +1.3% |
| Osasuna or Draw | 65% | @ 1.26 | -17.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 18% | @ 6.25 | +11.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | @ 2.95 | +10.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | @ 1.62 | +4.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 82% | @ 1.11 | -8.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | @ 1.38 | -13.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 36% | @ 2.28 | -18.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 43% | @ 2.32 | +0.2% |
| BTTS No | 57% | @ 1.55 | -11.9% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Osasuna or Getafe is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe -0.25 | 41% | @ 3.37 | +38.9% |
| Getafe 0 | 48% | @ 2.63 | +25.9% |
| Getafe +0.25 | 54% | @ 2.00 | +9.1% |
| Osasuna -1 | 28% | @ 3.83 | +8.8% |
| Getafe +0.5 | 61% | @ 1.67 | +2.0% |
| Osasuna -1.25 | 23% | @ 4.41 | +1.9% |
| Osasuna -1.75 | 15% | 6.60 | -1.4% |
| Getafe +0.75 | 66% | 1.49 | -1.5% |
| Getafe +1.5 | 82% | 1.17 | -4.2% |
| Getafe +1.75 | 85% | 1.11 | -5.6% |
| Getafe +1.25 | 77% | 1.22 | -6.2% |
| Getafe +1 | 72% | 1.27 | -9.1% |
| Osasuna -0.75 | 34% | 2.69 | -9.2% |
| Osasuna -0.25 | 46% | 1.87 | -14.7% |
| Osasuna -0.5 | 39% | 2.17 | -15.5% |
| Osasuna +0.5 | 65% | 1.26 | -17.8% |
| Osasuna +0.75 | 70% | 1.17 | -18.1% |
| Osasuna -1.5 | 18% | 4.58 | -18.6% |
| Osasuna +0.25 | 59% | 1.33 | -21.5% |
| Osasuna 0 | 52% | 1.49 | -22.4% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 43% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 42% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 34% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.34 for the home side, 1.25 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (17%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Getafe?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 64% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Getafe with a +0.25 start at 2.00 (+9.1% value).
Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Getafe?
Our model makes an Osasuna win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.0 scoreline for Osasuna vs Getafe.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Getafe?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Osasuna and 0.96 for Getafe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Osasuna and Getafe play?
Kick-off is Monday 31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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