Pafos

Thu 27 Aug2-2Finished

Dinamo Tirana

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Pafos 2-2 Dinamo Tirana

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Pafos face Dinamo Tirana in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Pafos win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Dinamo Tirana +2 @ 1.48

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	7.6%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
1	14.2%	11.9%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.3%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Pafos winDrawDinamo Tirana win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Dinamo Tirana with a +2 start at odds 1.48, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Pafos win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Pafos 50%Draw 27%Dinamo Tirana 23%

50%27%23%

50%

Pafos Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Pafos and Dinamo Tirana. Wins shown from Pafos’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Pafos	2 – 2	Dinamo Tirana	D
2026-08-20	Dinamo Tirana	1 – 1	Pafos	D

📈 Recent form

Pafos

Pafos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Karmiotissa. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to AEL.

LPafos 0-2 AEL1. Division
WAEK Larnaca 0-1 Pafos1. Division
DPafos 0-0 Olympiakos1. Division
WOmonia Nicosia 0-1 PafosSuper Cup
WKarmiotissa 0-3 Pafos1. Division

Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Laci. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WDinamo Tirana 3-1 LaciSuperliga
WPartizani 2-4 Dinamo TiranaSuperliga
WDinamo Tirana 2-1 AF ElbasaniSuperliga
WSkenderbeu Korce 0-1 Dinamo TiranaSuperliga
DPafos 2-2 Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Pafos at 50% to win and Dinamo Tirana at 23%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Pafos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Pafos Win	50%	72%	@ 1.30
Draw	27%	18%	@ 5.10
Dinamo Tirana Win	23%	10%	@ 9.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Pafos or Draw at 1.03 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Pafos or Draw	76%	90%	@ 1.03
Dinamo Tirana or Draw	49%	28%	@ 3.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	66%	@ 1.40
Over 1.5	69%	78%	@ 1.18
Under 2.5	57%	44%	@ 2.08
Over 2.5	43%	56%	@ 1.65
Under 1.5	31%	22%	@ 4.20
Over 3.5	22%	34%	@ 2.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	55%	@ 1.66
BTTS Yes	44%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Pafos or Dinamo Tirana is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Dinamo Tirana +2	80%	64%	@ 1.48
Dinamo Tirana +1.75	77%	56%	@ 1.69
Dinamo Tirana +1.5	73%	51%	@ 1.84
Pafos +0.25	70%	86%	1.11
Dinamo Tirana +1.25	67%	44%	@ 2.15
Pafos 0	64%	86%	1.10
Dinamo Tirana +1	61%	37%	@ 2.56
Pafos -0.25	58%	79%	1.20
Dinamo Tirana +0.75	55%	32%	@ 2.98
Pafos -0.5	51%	–	1.31
Pafos -0.75	45%	68%	1.38
Dinamo Tirana +0.25	42%	21%	@ 4.40
Pafos -1	39%	63%	1.48
Dinamo Tirana 0	36%	14%	@ 6.80
Pafos -1.25	33%	56%	1.69
Dinamo Tirana -0.25	30%	14%	@ 6.60
Pafos -1.5	27%	49%	1.93
Pafos -1.75	23%	44%	2.15
Pafos -2	20%	36%	2.58

📈 How the market moved

Pafos 71%Draw 19%Dinamo Tirana 10%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

Our model's main pick is Dinamo Tirana with a +2 start at odds 1.48, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

Our model makes a Pafos win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Pafos and 0.84 for Dinamo Tirana. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Pafos and Dinamo Tirana play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.