⚽ UEFA Europa League

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: Pafos 3-3 Red Bull Salzburg

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 3-3. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Pafos face Red Bull Salzburg in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Red Bull Salzburg won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Pafos win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 2.2-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Pafos +1.25 @ 1.26

82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.21 – 0.87 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.2%	8.8%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.2%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.3%	7.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
4	4.6%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Pafos winDrawRed Bull Salzburg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Pafos with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Pafos win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Pafos 0 at odds 2.17 (+19.8% model value).

Best value

Pafos 0 at odds 2.17, 55% model probability, +19.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Pafos 43%Draw 25%Red Bull Salzburg 32%

43%25%32%

43%

Pafos Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+19.8%

Best value: Pafos 0

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Pafos and Red Bull Salzburg. Wins shown from Pafos’s perspective: 1 drawn · Red Bull Salzburg 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Pafos	3 – 3	Red Bull Salzburg	D
2026-08-06	Red Bull Salzburg	1 – 0	Pafos	L

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Pafos at 43% to win and Red Bull Salzburg at 32%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Pafos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Pafos Win	43%	2.94	+25.1%
Draw	25%	3.43	-13.4%
Red Bull Salzburg Win	32%	2.21	-29.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Pafos or Draw at 1.61 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Pafos or Draw	68%	1.61	+10.3%
Red Bull Salzburg or Draw	58%	1.35	-22.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	59%	1.75	+3.9%
Over 1.5	81%	1.23	-0.5%
Under 3.5	63%	1.38	-13.0%
Under 2.5	41%	2.03	-17.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	48%	2.16	+4.0%
BTTS Yes	52%	1.61	-16.3%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Pafos or Red Bull Salzburg is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Pafos -1.25	26%	6.00	+53.3%
Pafos -0.75	37%	3.59	+31.4%
Pafos -0.5	42%	2.89	+21.8%
Pafos -0.25	49%	2.50	+21.7%
Pafos 0	55%	2.17	+19.8%
Pafos +0.5	68%	1.68	+15.0%
Pafos +0.25	62%	1.83	+13.3%
Pafos -1.75	17%	6.60	+11.5%
Pafos +0.75	73%	1.49	+8.4%
Pafos +1.5	87%	1.23	+7.2%
Pafos +1.25	82%	1.26	+3.7%
Pafos +1.75	89%	1.15	+2.5%
Pafos +1	78%	1.31	+1.7%
Pafos +2	91%	1.10	+0.5%
Red Bull Salzburg +1.75	83%	1.11	-7.7%
Red Bull Salzburg +1.5	80%	1.09	-12.4%
Red Bull Salzburg +1.25	74%	1.12	-16.6%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.75	63%	1.28	-18.8%
Red Bull Salzburg +1	69%	1.17	-19.7%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.5	58%	1.38	-20.0%
Red Bull Salzburg +0.25	51%	1.51	-22.3%
Red Bull Salzburg -0.25	38%	1.99	-24.1%
Red Bull Salzburg -1	22%	3.38	-24.4%
Red Bull Salzburg 0	45%	1.67	-25.4%
Red Bull Salzburg -0.75	27%	2.62	-29.3%
Red Bull Salzburg -0.5	32%	2.12	-32.7%
Red Bull Salzburg -1.25	18%	3.74	-33.7%
Red Bull Salzburg -2	9%	7.00	-39.5%
Red Bull Salzburg -1.75	11%	5.50	-40.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our main pick is Pafos with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Pafos 0 at 2.17 (+19.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our model makes a Pafos win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.9 scoreline for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg.

What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.21 for Pafos and 0.87 for Red Bull Salzburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Pafos and Red Bull Salzburg play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.