PAOK

Thu 20 Aug1-1Finished

Brann

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

PAOK vs Brann Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PAOK vs Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: PAOK 1-1 Brann

PAOK vs Brann finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

PAOK face Brann in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:45 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Brann won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PAOK win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 5.0-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PAOK vs Brann with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.73

95%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 5.03 – 2.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
1	0.3%	0.7%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%
2	0.7%	1.7%	2.1%	1.8%	1.1%
3	1.1%	2.8%	3.5%	3.0%	1.9%
4	1.4%	3.5%	4.5%	3.7%	2.4%

Projected score: 4-2

PAOK winDrawBrann win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PAOK vs Brann comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 95% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a PAOK win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (95%), both teams to score points yes (76%).

📊 Key numbers

PAOK 61%Draw 22%Brann 17%

61%22%17%

61%

PAOK Win

95%

Over 2.5 goals

76%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between PAOK and Brann. Wins shown from PAOK’s perspective: 2 drawn · Brann 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Brann	3 – 2	PAOK	L
2026-08-20	PAOK	1 – 1	Brann	D
2025-11-27	PAOK	1 – 1	Brann	D

📈 Recent form

PAOK

PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.

WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
DPAOK 0-0 OFICup

Brann

Brann come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Bodo/Glimt. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Start.

WBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
WOs 1-2 BrannNM Cupen
LStart 2-0 BrannEliteserien
LBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
DSandefjord 0-0 BrannEliteserien

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PAOK at 61% to win and Brann at 17%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a PAOK win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK Win	61%	54%	@ 1.72
Draw	22%	25%	@ 3.65
Brann Win	17%	21%	@ 4.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PAOK or Draw at 1.17 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK or Draw	83%	79%	@ 1.17
Brann or Draw	39%	46%	@ 1.96

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 5.0-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 95% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	96%	75%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	95%	53%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	91%	33%	@ 2.80
Under 3.5	9%	67%	@ 1.36
Under 2.5	5%	47%	@ 1.96
Under 1.5	4%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 76%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	76%	55%	@ 1.68
BTTS No	24%	45%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PAOK or Brann is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK +0.75	86%	85%	1.12
PAOK +0.5	83%	79%	1.18
PAOK +0.25	78%	–	1.24
Brann +2	73%	79%	1.19
PAOK 0	72%	–	1.25
Brann +1.75	68%	–	1.33
PAOK -0.25	67%	65%	1.46
Brann +1.5	64%	67%	1.40
PAOK -0.5	61%	56%	@ 1.67
Brann +1.25	57%	62%	1.52
PAOK -0.75	55%	52%	@ 1.82
Brann +1	51%	55%	1.73
PAOK -1	49%	45%	@ 2.08
Brann +0.75	45%	48%	2.00
PAOK -1.25	43%	38%	@ 2.45
Brann +0.5	39%	44%	2.15
PAOK -1.5	36%	33%	@ 2.81
Brann +0.25	33%	35%	2.69
PAOK -2	27%	21%	@ 4.50
Brann -0.5	17%	21%	4.40
Brann -0.75	14%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

PAOK 55%Draw 25%Brann 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAOK vs Brann?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 95% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 53%.

Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Brann?

Our model makes a PAOK win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 5.0-2.5 scoreline for PAOK vs Brann.

What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Brann?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 4-2, based on expected goals of 5.03 for PAOK and 2.52 for Brann. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PAOK and Brann play?

Kick-off is Thursday 20 August 2026, 17:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.