Sun 30 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nice Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris FC vs Nice in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Paris FC 3-0 Nice

Paris FC vs Nice finished 3-0. Paris FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Paris FC face Nice in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Paris FC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Nice have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Paris FC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris FC vs Nice with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.32

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	6.9%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
1	8.4%	11.2%	7.5%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.1%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.7%	4.9%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.5%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Paris FC winDrawNice win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Nice comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Paris FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Paris FC 45%Draw 28%Nice 28%

45%28%28%

45%

Paris FC Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Paris FC and Nice. Wins shown from Paris FC’s perspective: Paris FC 2 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Paris FC	3 – 0	Nice	W
2026-03-01	Paris FC	1 – 0	Nice	W
2025-09-28	Nice	1 – 1	Paris FC	D

📈 Recent form

Paris FC

Paris FC come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nice.

WParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
DParis FC 0-0 LyonLigue 1
WMarseille 2-3 Paris FCLigue 1
WParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DEstac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCLigue 1

Nice

Nice come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lille. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Auxerre.

WNice 2-1 LilleLigue 1
LAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LParis FC 3-0 NiceLigue 1
DNice 0-0 LorientLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Paris FC

J. IkoneHamstring Injury
L. KoleoshoInjury
E. MbembaNot in squad
N. SanguiInjury

Nice

A. AbdiSurgery
L. AbergelKnee Injury
M. BombitoLeg Injury
M. SansonSurgery

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris FC at 45% to win and Nice at 28%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC Win	45%	46%	@ 2.02
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.30
Nice Win	28%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris FC or Draw at 1.27 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris FC or Draw	72%	74%	@ 1.27
Nice or Draw	54%	54%	@ 1.76

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	71%	@ 1.32
Under 3.5	66%	75%	@ 1.26
Over 2.5	57%	45%	@ 2.07
Under 2.5	43%	55%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	34%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	20%	29%	@ 3.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	51%	@ 1.82
BTTS No	41%	49%	@ 1.90

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Paris FC or Nice is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nice +1.75	81%	81%	1.17
Paris FC +1	80%	86%	1.10
Nice +1.5	77%	–	1.25
Paris FC +0.75	76%	80%	1.18
Paris FC +0.5	72%	–	1.28
Nice +1.25	71%	73%	1.31
Nice +1	66%	69%	1.39
Paris FC +0.25	65%	71%	1.34
Nice +0.75	60%	60%	1.59
Paris FC 0	59%	64%	1.48
Nice +0.5	54%	53%	1.78
Paris FC -0.25	52%	54%	1.75
Nice +0.25	48%	46%	2.10
Paris FC -0.5	46%	47%	2.03
Nice 0	41%	36%	@ 2.64
Paris FC -0.75	40%	40%	2.40
Nice -0.25	35%	29%	@ 3.28
Paris FC -1	34%	31%	@ 3.09
Paris FC -1.25	29%	27%	@ 3.54
Nice -0.75	24%	20%	@ 4.65
Nice -1	20%	14%	@ 7.00
Paris FC -1.75	19%	19%	5.00

📈 How the market moved

Paris FC 46%Draw 28%Nice 26%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Nice?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Nice?

Our model makes a Paris FC win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Paris FC vs Nice.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Nice?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Paris FC and 1.34 for Nice. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris FC and Nice play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.