Sat 10 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Paris Saint-Germain face Le Mans in the Ligue 1, kicking off Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain have 2 wins from their last 5, while Le Mans have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 2.2-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 2.10

61%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.23 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%
1	7.6%	8.7%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
2	8.5%	9.7%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	6.3%	7.2%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.5%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Paris Saint-Germain winDrawLe Mans win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 2.10, with a 61% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Paris Saint-Germain 62%Draw 16%Le Mans 22%

62%16%22%

62%

Paris Saint-Germain Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at home to Slovan Bratislava. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Monaco.

WMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
WBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1
WParis Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
LParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Rennes.

WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1
LRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 BrestLigue 1

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Paris Saint-Germain

F. TorresAnkle Injury
S. MayuluGroin Injury
W. Zaire-EmeryThigh Injury

Le Mans

D. SidibeSuspended (cards)
L. BuadesKnock
E. ColasInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Paris Saint-Germain at 62% to win and Le Mans at 22%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris Saint-Germain Win	62%	89%	@ 1.07
Le Mans Win	22%	4%	@ 26.00
Draw	16%	7%	@ 13.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.01 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Paris Saint-Germain or Draw	82%	96%	@ 1.01
Le Mans or Draw	41%	11%	@ 10.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	90%	@ 1.06
Over 2.5	66%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	56%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	44%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	34%	22%	@ 4.33
Under 1.5	15%	10%	@ 10.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	44%	@ 2.10
BTTS No	39%	56%	@ 1.67

📈 How the market moved

Paris Saint-Germain 89%Draw 7%Le Mans 4%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Our model's main pick is both teams to score at odds 2.10, with a 61% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 44%.

Who is the favourite for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Our model makes a Paris Saint-Germain win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.1 scoreline for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.23 for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.15 for Le Mans. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Paris Saint-Germain and Le Mans play?

Kick-off is Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.