⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Result: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax finished 0-2. Ajax won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.34, was void (stake returned).

PEC Zwolle face Ajax in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 1, Ajax won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.2-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.34

90%

High AI Confidence

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 1.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	7.9%	7.8%	5.2%	2.6%
1	5.0%	9.8%	9.7%	6.4%	3.2%
2	3.1%	6.1%	6.0%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.3%	2.5%	2.5%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

PEC Zwolle winDrawAjax win

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates an Ajax win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is PEC Zwolle to win or draw at odds 2.63 (+72.8% model value).

Best value

PEC Zwolle +0.5 at odds 2.63, 66% model probability, +72.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 20%Draw 30%Ajax 50%

20%30%50%

50%

Ajax Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+72.8%

Best value: PEC Zwolle +0.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 20% to win and Ajax at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	30%	4.50	+33.7%
PEC Zwolle Win	20%	6.20	+22.9%
Ajax Win	50%	1.46	-26.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PEC Zwolle or Draw at 2.62 (50% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
PEC Zwolle or Draw	50%	2.62	+29.8%
Ajax or Draw	80%	1.11	-11.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	60%	1.70	+1.7%
Under 2.5	38%	2.70	+1.5%
Over 1.5	83%	1.14	-5.2%
Under 1.5	17%	5.50	-7.2%
Over 2.5	62%	1.45	-9.5%
Over 3.5	40%	2.10	-15.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	61%	1.55	-5.1%
BTTS No	39%	2.30	-10.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PEC Zwolle or Ajax is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
PEC Zwolle -0.25	47%	5.50	+157.7%
PEC Zwolle 0	53%	4.54	+141.6%
PEC Zwolle -0.75	35%	6.80	+140.0%
PEC Zwolle -0.5	41%	5.90	+139.2%
PEC Zwolle +0.25	60%	3.35	+98.9%
PEC Zwolle +0.5	66%	2.63	+72.8%
PEC Zwolle +0.75	70%	2.40	+68.9%
PEC Zwolle +1	75%	2.10	+57.9%
PEC Zwolle +1.25	80%	1.84	+47.3%
PEC Zwolle +1.5	85%	1.66	+40.3%
PEC Zwolle +1.75	87%	1.50	+31.3%
PEC Zwolle +2	90%	1.34	+20.7%
Ajax +0.75	65%	1.10	-28.8%
Ajax +0.5	60%	1.13	-32.8%
Ajax +0.25	53%	1.15	-38.9%
Ajax 0	47%	1.20	-44.0%
Ajax -0.25	40%	1.32	-46.3%
Ajax -0.5	34%	1.48	-49.4%
Ajax -0.75	30%	1.58	-53.4%
Ajax -1	25%	1.73	-57.2%
Ajax -1.25	20%	2.00	-60.1%
Ajax -1.5	15%	2.18	-66.9%
Ajax -2	10%	3.22	-66.9%
Ajax -1.75	13%	2.57	-67.3%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

Our main pick is PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with 90% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is PEC Zwolle to win or draw at 2.63 (+72.8% value).

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for PEC Zwolle and 1.98 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.