Sun 9 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax finished 0-2. Ajax won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.34, was void (stake returned).

PEC Zwolle face Ajax in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Ajax won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.2-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap +2.0 @ 1.34

90%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.24 – 1.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	7.9%	7.8%	5.2%	2.6%
1	5.0%	9.8%	9.7%	6.4%	3.2%
2	3.1%	6.1%	6.0%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.3%	2.5%	2.5%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

PEC Zwolle winDrawAjax win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with a 90% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Ajax win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 20%Draw 30%Ajax 50%

20%30%50%

50%

Ajax Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PEC Zwolle and Ajax. Wins shown from PEC Zwolle’s perspective: 1 drawn · Ajax 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-09	PEC Zwolle	0 – 2	Ajax	L
2026-03-01	PEC Zwolle	0 – 0	Ajax	D
2025-09-13	Ajax	3 – 1	PEC Zwolle	L
2025-03-09	PEC Zwolle	0 – 1	Ajax	L
2024-11-24	Ajax	2 – 0	PEC Zwolle	L

📈 Recent form

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Groningen.

LGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-7 FeyenoordEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie

Ajax

Ajax come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Willem II. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

DAjax 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
WAjax 5-1 Willem IIEredivisie
WFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
LAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

PEC Zwolle

Y. NamliKnee Injury

Ajax

R. BounidaInjury
J. FaberskiKnee Injury
A. KaplanKnee Injury
J. SutaloInjury
A. van Axel DongenThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 20% to win and Ajax at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Ajax Win	50%	66%	@ 1.41
Draw	30%	19%	@ 4.80
PEC Zwolle Win	20%	14%	@ 6.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PEC Zwolle or Draw at 2.75 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PEC Zwolle or Draw	66%	34%	@ 2.75
Ajax or Draw	60%	86%	@ 1.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	83%	@ 1.13
Over 2.5	62%	64%	@ 1.49
Under 3.5	60%	58%	@ 1.64
Over 3.5	40%	42%	@ 2.23
Under 2.5	38%	36%	@ 2.60
Under 1.5	17%	17%	@ 5.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	57%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	39%	43%	@ 2.16

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PEC Zwolle or Ajax is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PEC Zwolle +2	90%	71%	@ 1.34
PEC Zwolle +1.75	87%	63%	@ 1.50
PEC Zwolle +1.5	85%	57%	@ 1.66
PEC Zwolle +1.25	80%	52%	@ 1.84
PEC Zwolle +1	75%	45%	@ 2.10
PEC Zwolle +0.75	70%	40%	@ 2.40
PEC Zwolle +0.5	66%	36%	@ 2.63
Ajax +0.75	65%	86%	1.10
Ajax +0.5	60%	84%	1.13
PEC Zwolle +0.25	60%	28%	@ 3.35
PEC Zwolle 0	53%	21%	@ 4.54
Ajax +0.25	53%	83%	1.15
PEC Zwolle -0.25	47%	17%	@ 5.50
Ajax 0	47%	79%	1.20
PEC Zwolle -0.5	41%	16%	@ 5.90
Ajax -0.25	40%	72%	1.32
PEC Zwolle -0.75	35%	14%	@ 6.80
Ajax -0.5	34%	64%	1.48
Ajax -0.75	30%	60%	1.58
Ajax -1	25%	55%	1.73
Ajax -1.25	20%	48%	2.00
Ajax -1.5	15%	43%	2.18
Ajax -1.75	13%	37%	2.57
Ajax -2	10%	29%	3.22

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

Our model's main pick is PEC Zwolle Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with a 90% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

Our model makes an Ajax win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for PEC Zwolle and 1.98 for Ajax. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and Ajax play?

Kick-off is Sunday 09 August 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.