⚽ Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

PEC Zwolle face NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: PEC Zwolle have 1 win from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.3-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.41

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 2.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	6.9%	7.2%	5.0%	2.6%
1	4.4%	9.2%	9.5%	6.6%	3.4%
2	2.9%	6.0%	6.3%	4.4%	2.3%
3	1.3%	2.7%	2.8%	1.9%	1.0%
4	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-2

PEC Zwolle winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.81 (+1.1% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.81, 56% model probability, +1.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

PEC Zwolle 22%Draw 24%NEC Nijmegen 53%

22%24%53%

53%

NEC Nijmegen Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

+1.1%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen. Wins shown from PEC Zwolle’s perspective: 2 drawn · NEC Nijmegen 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-24	NEC Nijmegen	2 – 1	PEC Zwolle	L
2025-10-25	PEC Zwolle	2 – 2	NEC Nijmegen	D
2025-01-11	PEC Zwolle	0 – 1	NEC Nijmegen	L
2024-08-24	NEC Nijmegen	1 – 0	PEC Zwolle	L
2024-04-14	NEC Nijmegen	2 – 2	PEC Zwolle	D

📈 Recent form

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Heerenveen. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Twente.

WHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LTwente 3-1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LPEC Zwolle 0-2 AjaxEredivisie
LHannover 96 3-0 PEC ZwolleFriendlies Clubs
LPEC Zwolle 2-3 AEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Bodo/Glimt.

LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
WWillem II 1-4 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League
LNEC Nijmegen 1-2 TelstarEredivisie
DOlympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PEC Zwolle at 22% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	24%	@ 4.63	+12.9%
PEC Zwolle Win	22%	@ 4.69	+5.3%
NEC Nijmegen Win	53%	@ 1.60	-14.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.81	+1.1%
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.90	-1.5%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.12	-4.5%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 6.41	-5.8%
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.41	-6.9%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.02	-10.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.41, with 66% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.81 (+1.1% value).

Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.3-2.1 scoreline for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.32 for PEC Zwolle and 2.08 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.