vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 01 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Philadelphia Union 3-2 Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC finished 3-2. Philadelphia Union won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Atlanta United FC Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.31, landed.
Philadelphia Union face Atlanta United FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 01 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Philadelphia Union have 2 wins from their last 5, while Atlanta United FC have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 2, Atlanta United FC won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Atlanta United FC Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Philadelphia Union win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Atlanta United FC or Draw at odds 2.15 (+21.7% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 43% to win and Atlanta United FC at 30%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC Win | 30% | 4.45 | +32.4% |
| Draw | 27% | 4.10 | +10.0% |
| Philadelphia Union Win | 43% | 1.67 | -27.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlanta United FC or Draw at 2.15 (57% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 57% | 2.15 | +21.7% |
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 70% | 1.20 | -15.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 1.55 | -1.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.35 | -3.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 1.18 | -4.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.57 | -7.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 4.75 | -9.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 2.40 | -12.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 | -6.0% |
| BTTS No | 40% | 2.25 | -9.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC -0.75 | 27% | 5.90 | +58.4% |
| Atlanta United FC 0 | 44% | 3.56 | +54.9% |
| Atlanta United FC -0.25 | 37% | 4.04 | +51.0% |
| Atlanta United FC -0.5 | 31% | 4.30 | +34.5% |
| Atlanta United FC +0.25 | 50% | 2.61 | +29.7% |
| Atlanta United FC +0.5 | 56% | 2.17 | +21.3% |
| Atlanta United FC +0.75 | 61% | 1.96 | +19.8% |
| Atlanta United FC +1 | 67% | 1.70 | +13.2% |
| Atlanta United FC +1.5 | 78% | 1.44 | +11.7% |
| Atlanta United FC +1.25 | 72% | 1.54 | +11.4% |
| Atlanta United FC +1.75 | 81% | 1.31 | +6.3% |
| Atlanta United FC +2 | 84% | 1.19 | +0.2% |
| Philadelphia Union +0.75 | 73% | 1.13 | -17.3% |
| Philadelphia Union +0.5 | 69% | 1.19 | -18.6% |
| Philadelphia Union +0.25 | 63% | 1.25 | -22.1% |
| Philadelphia Union -0.25 | 50% | 1.50 | -24.6% |
| Philadelphia Union 0 | 56% | 1.30 | -26.6% |
| Philadelphia Union -0.75 | 39% | 1.89 | -26.8% |
| Philadelphia Union -0.5 | 44% | 1.65 | -27.0% |
| Philadelphia Union -1 | 33% | 2.16 | -28.0% |
| Philadelphia Union -2 | 16% | 4.50 | -28.9% |
| Philadelphia Union -1.25 | 28% | 2.46 | -31.3% |
| Philadelphia Union -1.75 | 19% | 3.45 | -34.0% |
| Philadelphia Union -1.5 | 22% | 2.71 | -39.2% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our main pick is Atlanta United FC Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Atlanta United FC or Draw at 2.15 (+21.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model makes a Philadelphia Union win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Philadelphia Union and 1.32 for Atlanta United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 01 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.