vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Philadelphia Union face Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1, Inter Miami won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.9-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (72%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.00 (+15.6% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective: Philadelphia Union 1 · Inter Miami 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami | 6 – 4 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-09-14 | Inter Miami | 3 – 1 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-06-15 | Philadelphia Union | 1 – 2 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2023-06-24 | Philadelphia Union | 4 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
| 2023-03-05 | Inter Miami | 2 – 0 | Philadelphia Union | L |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 32% to win and Inter Miami at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 47% | @ 2.40 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 21% | @ 3.95 | -16.7% |
| Philadelphia Union Win | 32% | @ 2.50 | -19.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.50 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 70% | @ 1.50 | +5.6% |
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 56% | @ 1.53 | -15.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 58% | @ 2.00 | +15.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | @ 1.40 | +7.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | @ 1.11 | +1.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 42% | @ 1.80 | -24.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | @ 2.90 | -33.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 9% | @ 6.25 | -45.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 72% | @ 1.35 | -3.3% |
| BTTS No | 28% | @ 2.95 | -16.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.00 (+15.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Philadelphia Union and 2.17 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.