⚽ UEFA Europa League

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Plzen face FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 0.7-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

93%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.68 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	21.4%	18.4%	7.9%	2.3%	0.5%
1	14.6%	12.5%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%
2	5.0%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
3	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

Plzen winDrawFK Crvena Zvezda win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 93%. On the match result, the model rates a Plzen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (80%), both teams to score points no (75%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.25 (+79.7% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.25, 80% model probability, +79.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Plzen 35%Draw 30%FK Crvena Zvezda 34%

35%30%34%

35%

Plzen Win

80%

Under 2.5 goals

75%

BTTS no

+79.7%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Plzen

Plzen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Zlin. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at FK Crvena Zvezda.

LFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League
WPlzen 3-2 ZlinCzech Liga
DTeplice 5-5 PlzenCzech Liga
DPlzen 1-1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
LPlzen 1-3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga

FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cukaricki. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Hapoel Beer Sheva.

WFK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 CukarickiSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League
LFK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League
WFK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
LHapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Plzen at 35% to win and FK Crvena Zvezda at 34%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	30%	@ 3.70	+12.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	34%	@ 3.10	+6.7%
Plzen Win	35%	@ 2.10	-25.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw at 1.70 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	63%	@ 1.70	+6.7%
Plzen or Draw	64%	@ 1.35	-14.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 80% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	54%	@ 4.33	+135.8%
Under 2.5	80%	@ 2.25	+79.7%
Under 3.5	93%	@ 1.50	+39.4%
Over 1.5	46%	@ 1.20	-45.3%
Over 2.5	20%	@ 1.62	-67.4%
Over 3.5	7%	@ 2.55	-82.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 75%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	75%	@ 2.35	+75.7%
BTTS Yes	25%	@ 1.50	-62.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	41%
Dixon-Coles	Away	54%
GradientBoosting	Home	40%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.29 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (23%), 0-0 (17%), 0-2 (13%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with 93% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.25 (+79.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 0.7-0.9 scoreline for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda.

What is the predicted score for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.68 for Plzen and 0.86 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.