Plzen

Thu 27 Aug4-1Finished

FK Crvena Zvezda

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Plzen 4-1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda finished 4-1. Plzen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Plzen face FK Crvena Zvezda in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Plzen won 1, FK Crvena Zvezda won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 0.7-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

93%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.68 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	21.4%	18.4%	7.9%	2.3%	0.5%
1	14.6%	12.5%	5.4%	1.5%	0.3%
2	5.0%	4.3%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
3	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-0

Plzen winDrawFK Crvena Zvezda win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 93% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Plzen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (80%), both teams to score points no (75%).

📊 Key numbers

Plzen 35%Draw 30%FK Crvena Zvezda 34%

35%30%34%

35%

Plzen Win

80%

Under 2.5 goals

75%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda. Wins shown from Plzen’s perspective: Plzen 1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-27	Plzen	4 – 1	FK Crvena Zvezda	W
2026-08-20	FK Crvena Zvezda	3 – 0	Plzen	L

📈 Recent form

Plzen

Plzen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Artis. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Slavia Praha.

LSlavia Praha 2-1 PlzenCzech Liga
LPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
LPlzen 2-3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
DHradec Králové 0-0 PlzenCzech Liga
WArtis 0-3 PlzenCzech Liga

FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cukaricki. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Plzen.

DRadnik Surdulica 0-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
LPlzen 4-1 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League
WFK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 CukarickiSuper Liga
WFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Plzen at 35% to win and FK Crvena Zvezda at 34%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Plzen Win	35%	47%	@ 1.98
FK Crvena Zvezda Win	34%	28%	@ 3.40
Draw	30%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Plzen or Draw at 1.27 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Plzen or Draw	64%	72%	@ 1.27
FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw	63%	53%	@ 1.74

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 80% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	93%	61%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	80%	41%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	54%	19%	@ 4.75
Over 1.5	46%	81%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	20%	59%	@ 1.55
Over 3.5	7%	39%	@ 2.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 75%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	75%	39%	@ 2.38
BTTS Yes	25%	61%	@ 1.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Plzen or FK Crvena Zvezda is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FK Crvena Zvezda +2	89%	84%	@ 1.13
Plzen +1.75	87%	85%	1.12
FK Crvena Zvezda +1.75	86%	77%	@ 1.22
Plzen +1.5	84%	86%	1.10
FK Crvena Zvezda +1.5	83%	73%	@ 1.30
Plzen +1.25	79%	85%	1.12
FK Crvena Zvezda +1.25	78%	70%	@ 1.35
Plzen +1	74%	84%	1.13
FK Crvena Zvezda +1	73%	66%	@ 1.43
Plzen +0.75	69%	77%	1.23
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.75	68%	58%	@ 1.63
Plzen +0.5	64%	71%	1.31
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.5	63%	52%	@ 1.81
Plzen +0.25	57%	68%	1.39
FK Crvena Zvezda +0.25	56%	46%	@ 2.08
Plzen 0	50%	62%	1.52
FK Crvena Zvezda 0	50%	38%	@ 2.48
Plzen -0.25	44%	54%	1.75
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25	43%	32%	@ 2.98
Plzen -0.5	37%	48%	1.96
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5	36%	29%	@ 3.24
Plzen -0.75	32%	42%	2.25
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.75	31%	23%	@ 4.09
Plzen -1	27%	34%	2.77
FK Crvena Zvezda -1	26%	16%	@ 5.90
Plzen -1.25	22%	30%	3.11
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.25	21%	15%	@ 6.40
Plzen -1.5	17%	27%	3.46
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.5	16%	14%	@ 6.80
Plzen -1.75	14%	23%	4.15
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.75	13%	15%	6.25
Plzen -2	11%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Plzen 47%Draw 25%FK Crvena Zvezda 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 93% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 0.7-0.9 scoreline for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda.

What is the predicted score for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-0, based on expected goals of 0.68 for Plzen and 0.86 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.