⚽ Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen finished 2-0. PSV Eindhoven won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, PSV Eindhoven with a -1 handicap at 1.30, landed.
PSV Eindhoven face Heerenveen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: PSV Eindhoven have 4 wins from their last 5, while Heerenveen have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 4, Heerenveen won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 78%, projecting a 3.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PSV Eindhoven with a -1 handicap at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 78%. Goals lean over 2.5 (82%), both teams to score points yes (69%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen. Wins shown from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective: PSV Eindhoven 4 · Heerenveen 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 – 0 | Heerenveen | W |
| 2026-02-21 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 – 1 | Heerenveen | W |
| 2025-12-06 | Heerenveen | 0 – 2 | PSV Eindhoven | W |
| 2025-03-08 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 – 1 | Heerenveen | W |
| 2024-12-14 | Heerenveen | 1 – 0 | PSV Eindhoven | L |
📈 Recent form
PSV Eindhoven come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sparta Rotterdam. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Twente.
- WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
- DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
- WAjax 1-3 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven.
- LPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
- WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
- LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- L. GeertruidaKnock
- S. LammersLacking Match Fitness
- A. NagaloInjury
- S. OuaissaMuscle Injury
- R. PepiInjury
- A. PleaSurgery
- J. SchoutenKnee Injury
- K. SildilliaSurgery
- M. EgbringAnkle Injury
- M. HilgersKnee Injury
- D. ProperHamstring Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices PSV Eindhoven at 78% to win and Heerenveen at 10%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven Win | 78% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Draw | 12% | 15% | @ 6.50 |
| Heerenveen Win | 10% | 10% | @ 9.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PSV Eindhoven or Draw at 1.07 (91% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven or Draw | 91% | 90% | @ 1.07 |
| Heerenveen or Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 3.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 82% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 94% | @ 1.03 |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 35% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 6% | 6% | @ 15.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 31% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PSV Eindhoven or Heerenveen is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven -0.25 | 80% | 82% | 1.16 |
| PSV Eindhoven -0.5 | 76% | 76% | 1.23 |
| PSV Eindhoven -0.75 | 70% | 75% | 1.26 |
| PSV Eindhoven -1 | 64% | 73% | 1.30 |
| PSV Eindhoven -1.25 | 59% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Heerenveen +2 | 58% | 48% | @ 1.98 |
| PSV Eindhoven -1.5 | 53% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Heerenveen +1.75 | 52% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| PSV Eindhoven -1.75 | 48% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Heerenveen +1.5 | 47% | 40% | @ 2.39 |
| PSV Eindhoven -2 | 42% | 52% | 1.85 |
| Heerenveen +1.25 | 41% | 34% | @ 2.77 |
| Heerenveen +1 | 36% | 27% | @ 3.54 |
| Heerenveen +0.75 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Heerenveen +0.5 | 24% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Heerenveen +0.25 | 20% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our main pick is PSV Eindhoven with a -1 handicap at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our model makes a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 78%. It projects an expected 3.2-1.2 scoreline for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.23 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.25 for Heerenveen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen play?
Kick-off is Friday 09 October 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Valladolid
Albacete
Burgos
Granada CF
Atalanta
Venezia
Oviedo
Eibar
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Torino
UdineseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.