Fri 28 Aug3-2Finished

⚽ La Liga

Racing Santander vs Elche Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Racing Santander vs Elche in the La Liga. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Racing Santander 3-2 Elche

Racing Santander vs Elche finished 3-2. Racing Santander won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Racing Santander face Elche in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Racing Santander vs Elche with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Racing Santander or Draw @ 1.27

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.7%	10.4%	5.6%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.8%	6.3%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.8%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Racing Santander winDrawElche win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Racing Santander or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Racing Santander win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Racing Santander 53%Draw 31%Elche 16%

53%31%16%

53%

Racing Santander Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Racing Santander

Racing Santander come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Alavés. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Celta Vigo.

LCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
LBarcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
LRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing SantanderLa Liga
WRacing Santander 3-2 ElcheLa Liga

Elche

Elche come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Espanyol. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Real Madrid.

WEspanyol 1-3 ElcheLa Liga
LElche 2-3 Real MadridLa Liga
DAthletic Club 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
LElche 2-3 Real SociedadLa Liga
LRacing Santander 3-2 ElcheLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Racing Santander

Pedro FelipeHamstring Injury

Elche

A. BoayarMuscle Injury
Y. SantiagoKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Racing Santander at 53% to win and Elche at 16%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander Win	53%	46%	@ 2.07
Draw	31%	28%	@ 3.35
Elche Win	16%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Racing Santander or Draw at 1.27 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander or Draw	80%	74%	@ 1.27
Elche or Draw	43%	54%	@ 1.74

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 3.5	65%	69%	@ 1.37
Over 2.5	57%	52%	@ 1.80
Under 2.5	43%	48%	@ 1.97
Over 3.5	35%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	20%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	57%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	44%	43%	@ 2.17

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Racing Santander or Elche is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Racing Santander +1.5	93%	87%	@ 1.07
Racing Santander +1.25	90%	86%	1.10
Racing Santander +1	87%	85%	1.12
Racing Santander +0.75	84%	–	@ 1.22
Racing Santander +0.5	80%	73%	@ 1.30
Racing Santander +0.25	75%	68%	@ 1.40
Elche +1.75	72%	81%	1.17
Racing Santander 0	69%	62%	@ 1.53
Elche +1.5	68%	–	1.25
Racing Santander -0.25	63%	53%	@ 1.82
Elche +1.25	61%	73%	1.30
Racing Santander -0.5	57%	46%	@ 2.07
Elche +1	55%	70%	1.36
Racing Santander -0.75	51%	39%	@ 2.44
Elche +0.75	49%	61%	1.56
Racing Santander -1	45%	30%	@ 3.15
Elche +0.5	43%	54%	1.74
Racing Santander -1.25	39%	27%	@ 3.56
Elche +0.25	37%	47%	2.06
Elche 0	31%	38%	2.49
Racing Santander -1.75	28%	19%	@ 5.00
Elche -0.25	25%	32%	3.00
Elche -0.5	20%	27%	3.44
Elche -1	13%	15%	6.25
Elche -1.25	10%	14%	6.80
Elche -1.5	7%	13%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Racing Santander 45%Draw 28%Elche 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche?

Our model's main pick is Racing Santander or Draw at odds 1.27, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Elche?

Our model makes a Racing Santander win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Racing Santander vs Elche.

What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Elche?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Racing Santander and 1.08 for Elche. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Racing Santander and Elche play?

Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.