⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Raków Częstochowa face HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.9-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Raków Częstochowa or Draw @ 1.30

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	5.6%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.0%	10.5%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.3%	9.9%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.5%	6.2%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Raków Częstochowa winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Raków Częstochowa win at odds 2.06 (+11.3% model value).

Best value

Raków Częstochowa Win at odds 2.06, 54% model probability, +11.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Raków Częstochowa 54%Draw 25%HNK Hajduk Split 21%

54%25%21%

54%

Raków Częstochowa Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+11.3%

Best value: Raków Częstochowa Win

📈 Recent form

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Hammarby FF. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Cracovia Krakow.

DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference
LCracovia Krakow 2-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
WHammarby FF 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference
DRaków Częstochowa 0-0 Hammarby FFUEFA Europa Conference
LSlask Wroclaw 2-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FK Zalgiris Vilnius. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaUEFA Europa Conference
WHNK Gorica 1-2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
WHNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusUEFA Europa Conference
DHNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Istra 1961HNL
WFK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Raków Częstochowa at 54% to win and HNK Hajduk Split at 21%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Raków Częstochowa Win	54%	@ 2.06	+11.3%
Draw	25%	@ 3.40	-15.4%
HNK Hajduk Split Win	21%	@ 3.40	-28.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at 1.30 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Raków Częstochowa or Draw	78%	@ 1.30	+1.9%
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw	46%	@ 1.73	-21.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.28	-0.7%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.83	-1.2%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.10	-1.7%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.36	-7.1%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.95	-10.3%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 3.60	-19.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	49%	@ 2.05	+0.6%
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.65	-15.9%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our main pick is Raków Częstochowa or Draw at odds 1.30, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Raków Częstochowa win at 2.06 (+11.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our model makes a Raków Częstochowa win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split.

What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.96 for HNK Hajduk Split. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split play?

Kick-off is Thursday 27 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.